{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3104167d-1575-42ee-a42a-31f7666e66ef",
    "symbol": "SEPL",
    "name": "Seplat Energy Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 87.055,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.384,
    "architecture_energy": 71.379,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.717,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.807,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.09,
        "rotation_up": 73.57,
        "upward_expansion": 87.64,
        "deceleration": 45.82,
        "rotation_down": 10.04,
        "downward_expansion": 14.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        549.573883,
        531.273526
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 597.0,
    "trend_reference": 493.813963,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.208957,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 251.167012,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.376905,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 39.394674,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.640605,
    "excess_performance": 0.58937,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.208957,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230582,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.376905,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.221698,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.393947,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.277364,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.640605,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 9.120917,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2609435,
      "relative_activity": 0.558887,
      "balance": 9.120917,
      "dry_up": 0.384163,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067138,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.321192,
      "from_high_reference": -0.036806,
      "from_low_reference": 1.524127
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 493.813963,
      "fair_value_reference": 251.167012,
      "structural_low": 358.891636,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.000542,
        "positive_rate": 0.483871,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.483871,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008146,
        "regime_survival": 0.774194,
        "best_return": 0.280597,
        "worst_return": -0.104015,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.149374,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.203394,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.066583,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1679812,
        "typical_volume": 4606816.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 2139764,
        "typical_volume": 4667043.3,
        "trend": 474.341371,
        "fair_value": 245.291483,
        "relative_strength": 39.215694,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 576.0,
        "volume": 745603,
        "typical_volume": 4607914.45,
        "trend": 483.66102,
        "fair_value": 248.16162,
        "relative_strength": 36.581626,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.248863,
        "energy": 46.875276,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 597.0,
        "volume": 2609435,
        "typical_volume": 4668985.5,
        "trend": 493.813963,
        "fair_value": 251.167012,
        "relative_strength": 39.394674,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.383861,
        "energy": 71.378708,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}