{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3128a6dd-f628-425e-a7ef-65ede676f242",
    "symbol": "GVC",
    "name": "Entain Plc",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -46.274,
    "architecture_energy": 19.498,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.468,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.94,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.15,
        "rotation_up": 24.38,
        "upward_expansion": 7.64,
        "deceleration": 49.36,
        "rotation_down": 38.95,
        "downward_expansion": 67.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.411467,
        6.4356,
        6.4434,
        6.470084
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 6.33,
    "trend_reference": 6.587935,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.039153,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 8.527699,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.257713,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -34.158053,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.084224,
    "excess_performance": -0.25847,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039153,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089545,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.257713,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056387,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.341581,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042886,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084224,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.581049,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1994,
      "relative_activity": 0.833177,
      "balance": 0.581049,
      "dry_up": 1.203071,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062389,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.40481,
      "from_high_reference": -0.422779,
      "from_low_reference": 0.092509
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.587935,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.527699,
      "structural_low": 5.794,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.104452,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043547,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.03871,
        "worst_return": -0.185314,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.032258,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.107214,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.030259,
        "worst_return": -0.344197,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.088267,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.170451,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.222884,
        "worst_return": -0.371708,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.24531,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.375714,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.22889,
        "worst_return": -0.305796,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.021481,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.050021,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020992,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.150912,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.101827,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.124204,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.123572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.178853,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.210094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021332,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.087981,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.060253,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.241053,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.000949,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 12.806551,
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        "typical_volume": 1326.25,
        "trend": 14.292985,
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 6.89,
        "volume": 9123,
        "typical_volume": 5291.0,
        "trend": 7.747374,
        "fair_value": 9.305283,
        "relative_strength": -32.298373,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -37.133675,
        "energy": 20.493224,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 25.722265,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.765213,
        "energy": 24.683608,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 6.084,
        "volume": 8812,
        "typical_volume": 4946.9,
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        "fair_value": 9.121511,
        "relative_strength": -39.646823,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 40.669981,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.581113,
          6.934433
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 1600,
        "typical_volume": 4831.0,
        "trend": 7.326886,
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        "relative_strength": -38.918113,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.587376,
        "energy": 44.989642,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 6.198,
        "volume": 2075,
        "typical_volume": 4544.45,
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        "fair_value": 9.013283,
        "relative_strength": -40.173645,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 48.041811,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -35.375955,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 35.825243,
        "activity_lines": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 7.02,
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        "trend": 7.153552,
        "fair_value": 8.923127,
        "relative_strength": -32.107954,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.801501,
        "energy": 12.308943,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 17.087588,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 7.018255,
        "fair_value": 8.830017,
        "relative_strength": -36.937812,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.501148,
        "energy": 16.863873,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.480302,
          6.639651
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 6.172,
        "volume": 565,
        "typical_volume": 3112.35,
        "trend": 6.938592,
        "fair_value": 8.783797,
        "relative_strength": -40.359299,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.496845,
        "energy": 17.950152,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.431733,
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          6.585054
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 6.488,
        "volume": 4366,
        "typical_volume": 3180.8,
        "trend": 6.875968,
        "fair_value": 8.735973,
        "relative_strength": -35.473276,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.786373,
        "energy": 23.133721,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.421067,
          6.430655,
          6.451781,
          6.555984
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.622,
        "volume": 2665,
        "typical_volume": 2634.1,
        "trend": 6.814722,
        "fair_value": 8.690448,
        "relative_strength": -31.804963,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.065409,
        "energy": 14.580671,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.459867,
          6.472982,
          6.466165,
          6.539599
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.498,
        "volume": 3979,
        "typical_volume": 2285.85,
        "trend": 6.747438,
        "fair_value": 8.636299,
        "relative_strength": -32.806749,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.15842,
        "energy": 14.650199,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.483867,
          6.486873,
          6.468638,
          6.519165
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.324,
        "volume": 2879,
        "typical_volume": 2318.85,
        "trend": 6.667324,
        "fair_value": 8.579685,
        "relative_strength": -33.398591,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.33038,
        "energy": 14.258196,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.441733,
          6.4616,
          6.455724,
          6.491847
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.33,
        "volume": 1994,
        "typical_volume": 2393.25,
        "trend": 6.587935,
        "fair_value": 8.527699,
        "relative_strength": -34.158053,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.274224,
        "energy": 19.498497,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.411467,
          6.4356,
          6.4434,
          6.470084
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}