{ "ticker": { "uuid": "312f947f-8ccc-4235-8b8c-cedf13f989b5", "symbol": "ATORX", "name": "Alligator Bioscience AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -84.188, "architecture_energy": 93.852, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.738, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.75, "rotation_up": 8.05, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 79.67, "downward_expansion": 93.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.070373, 0.112529, 0.153432, 0.167877 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.0384, "trend_reference": 0.181457, "distance_from_trend": -0.788379, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 36.947232, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.998961, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -97.14818, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.786667, "excess_performance": -0.848161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.788379, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.473372, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.998961, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004459, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.971482, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052612, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.786667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.108777, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38769610, "relative_activity": 0.586126, "balance": 0.108777, "dry_up": 1.187045, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.952724, "annualized_volatility": 2.106399, "from_high_reference": -0.993137, "from_low_reference": 0.185185 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.181457, "fair_value_reference": 36.947232, "structural_low": 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0.204802 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.1776, "volume": 5266434, "typical_volume": 55258740.15, "trend": 0.21928, "fair_value": 37.848441, "relative_strength": -90.225905, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.631204, "energy": 34.768598, "activity_lines": [ 0.177027, 0.185271, 0.197296, 0.201669 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.186, "volume": 17179073, "typical_volume": 55124801.35, "trend": 0.21628, "fair_value": 37.631212, "relative_strength": -88.853944, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.231878, "energy": 29.514169, "activity_lines": [ 0.180347, 0.183731, 0.195964, 0.199522 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0476, "volume": 193696329, "typical_volume": 64178759.05, "trend": 0.2065, "fair_value": 37.415804, "relative_strength": -96.946431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.870773, "energy": 76.908863, "activity_lines": [ 0.137, 0.157673, 0.181514, 0.188639 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0428, "volume": 64426028, "typical_volume": 65394848.4, "trend": 0.19651, "fair_value": 37.196302, "relative_strength": -97.029005, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.284585, "energy": 91.765535, "activity_lines": [ 0.10008, 0.133967, 0.167313, 0.178078 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0384, "volume": 38769610, "typical_volume": 66145539.3, "trend": 0.181457, "fair_value": 36.947232, "relative_strength": -97.14818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.187752, "energy": 93.852075, "activity_lines": [ 0.070373, 0.112529, 0.153432, 0.167877 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }