{ "ticker": { "uuid": "312fe7b8-ba9e-43be-90f0-8c6fac38d64d", "symbol": "NWT", "name": "Wells Fargo & Company", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 59.472, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.245, "architecture_energy": 53.238, "architecture_maturity": 16.26, "architecture_confidence": 74.391, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.16, "rotation_up": 62.06, "upward_expansion": 82.0, "deceleration": 55.45, "rotation_down": 16.94, "downward_expansion": 8.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.293138, 74.913727, 72.441676, 71.477196 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 74.970001, "trend_reference": 71.179382, "distance_from_trend": 0.053254, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 59.530949, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.259345, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.215367, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.051049, "excess_performance": -0.115689, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053254, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008489, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.259345, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10464, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032154, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046643, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.051049, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.157769, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1220, "relative_activity": 1.025124, "balance": 1.157769, "dry_up": 1.193597, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.035263, "annualized_volatility": 0.263858, "from_high_reference": -0.089146, "from_low_reference": 0.197604 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.179382, "fair_value_reference": 59.530949, "structural_low": 62.599998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.002138, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.027903, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.214208, "worst_return": -0.198943, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.023657, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.023086, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.238728, "worst_return": -0.168141, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.032237, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.110238, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.246337, "worst_return": -0.104279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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70.262022, 70.45385 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 76.899117, "volume": 1910, "typical_volume": 1327.35, "trend": 71.654146, "fair_value": 58.817053, "relative_strength": 5.471738, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 52.860863, "energy": 73.851579, "activity_lines": [ 75.375231, 73.438688, 70.993882, 70.790249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 75.766632, "volume": 981, "typical_volume": 1341.1, "trend": 71.539504, "fair_value": 59.055537, "relative_strength": 2.721177, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.445847, "energy": 66.605165, "activity_lines": [ 75.718517, 74.262914, 71.579507, 71.05557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 74.49508, "volume": 1571, "typical_volume": 1168.05, "trend": 71.390378, "fair_value": 59.288268, "relative_strength": -1.150981, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.148094, "energy": 48.935617, "activity_lines": [ 75.434177, 74.624192, 72.009437, 71.246253 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 74.970001, "volume": 1220, "typical_volume": 1190.1, "trend": 71.179382, "fair_value": 59.530949, "relative_strength": -3.215367, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.244843, "energy": 53.238482, "activity_lines": [ 75.293138, 74.913727, 72.441676, 71.477196 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }