{ "ticker": { "uuid": "314263e4-d740-43cc-8013-d5373b4776e8", "symbol": "688648", "name": "China Post Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.537, "architecture_energy": 69.662, "architecture_maturity": 62.811, "architecture_confidence": 95.532, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.04, "rotation_up": 24.12, "upward_expansion": 14.35, "deceleration": 45.42, "rotation_down": 57.27, "downward_expansion": 85.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.287333, 31.819454, 36.970286, 42.051419 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 31.68, "trend_reference": 49.12, "distance_from_trend": -0.355049, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 37.0435, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.144789, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.574758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.503992, "excess_performance": -0.460789, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.355049, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127665, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.144789, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.483143, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.405748, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.215358, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.503992, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.600582, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7806885, "relative_activity": 0.863915, "balance": 0.600582, "dry_up": 0.956439, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144886, "annualized_volatility": 0.545026, "from_high_reference": -0.612856, "from_low_reference": 0.188297 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.12, "fair_value_reference": 37.0435, "structural_low": 26.66, 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.07, "volume": 8896551, "typical_volume": 9633680.0, "trend": 51.055667, "fair_value": 37.131176, "relative_strength": -46.310233, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.39849, "energy": 71.38129, "activity_lines": [ 30.726, 33.288545, 39.44081, 44.58486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.219999, "volume": 9178804, "typical_volume": 9086122.3, "trend": 50.112667, "fair_value": 37.081811, "relative_strength": -42.050437, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.311416, "energy": 78.428081, "activity_lines": [ 30.18, 32.273454, 38.061143, 43.240624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.68, "volume": 7806885, "typical_volume": 9036636.4, "trend": 49.12, "fair_value": 37.0435, "relative_strength": -40.574758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.536593, "energy": 69.662328, "activity_lines": [ 30.287333, 31.819454, 36.970286, 42.051419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }