{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3145df3c-9e6a-4b2f-bd8d-59598c7173d0",
    "symbol": "5523",
    "name": "Fong-Chien Construction Co.,LTD.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 54.17,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 17.395,
    "architecture_energy": 7.71,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.524,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.43,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.51,
        "rotation_up": 29.24,
        "upward_expansion": 45.71,
        "deceleration": 75.52,
        "rotation_down": 21.06,
        "downward_expansion": 23.71
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.35,
        30.365455,
        30.382143,
        30.341505
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 30.35,
    "trend_reference": 30.316667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0011,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 28.643986,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.059559,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.76618,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.004918,
    "excess_performance": -0.44629,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0011,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002535,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059559,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019023,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.287662,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040005,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004918,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.412039,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 89283,
      "relative_activity": 0.374367,
      "balance": 1.412039,
      "dry_up": 0.674324,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019136,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.078962,
      "from_high_reference": -0.081694,
      "from_low_reference": 0.076241
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.316667,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.643986,
      "structural_low": 28.200001,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.423077,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.423077,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024712,
        "regime_survival": 0.730769,
        "best_return": 0.113074,
        "worst_return": -0.101587,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.005034,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037367,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.081511,
        "worst_return": -0.034615,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.021815,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032057,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.312127,
        "worst_return": -0.040385,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.041648,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.085465,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.29225,
        "worst_return": -0.059814,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.020221,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049002,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.077241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025126,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.009804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.068792,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.086956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009983,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006563,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.020134,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.031353,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.040816,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.004918,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "energy": 26.129533,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "relative_strength": -32.766674,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 264994.4,
        "trend": 30.208333,
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        "relative_strength": -33.4182,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 18.892279,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -36.079424,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 19.667942,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -35.821152,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 74000,
        "typical_volume": 234237.75,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 30.4,
        "volume": 206053,
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        "fair_value": 28.420864,
        "relative_strength": -32.050282,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 30.4,
        "volume": 105059,
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        "fair_value": 28.465629,
        "relative_strength": -26.919929,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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          30.403333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.25,
        "volume": 260400,
        "typical_volume": 245765.3,
        "trend": 30.311667,
        "fair_value": 28.509432,
        "relative_strength": -28.09411,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.471136,
        "energy": 10.109931,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.35,
          30.383637,
          30.358095,
          30.33129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.4,
        "volume": 186959,
        "typical_volume": 247863.25,
        "trend": 30.315,
        "fair_value": 28.554797,
        "relative_strength": -25.992035,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.174087,
        "energy": 11.285259,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.36,
          30.382727,
          30.37,
          30.336989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.35,
        "volume": 106638,
        "typical_volume": 241995.15,
        "trend": 30.315,
        "fair_value": 28.599241,
        "relative_strength": -27.093933,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.778269,
        "energy": 7.561075,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.353333,
          30.372727,
          30.378095,
          30.339247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 30.35,
        "volume": 89283,
        "typical_volume": 238490.65,
        "trend": 30.316667,
        "fair_value": 28.643986,
        "relative_strength": -28.76618,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.395229,
        "energy": 7.710052,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.35,
          30.365455,
          30.382143,
          30.341505
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}