{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "314d99f6-541b-4b34-a03f-7aa27c634c0a",
    "symbol": "TTE",
    "name": "TotalEnergies SE",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.397,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 34.336,
    "architecture_energy": 31.791,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.856,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.364,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.84,
        "rotation_up": 59.12,
        "upward_expansion": 65.4,
        "deceleration": 67.98,
        "rotation_down": 11.96,
        "downward_expansion": 13.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        74.156665,
        72.370863,
        73.348448,
        73.165891
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 74.089996,
    "trend_reference": 71.207599,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.040479,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.903686,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302025,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 9.442065,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.196477,
    "excess_performance": 0.143166,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040479,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090272,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302025,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067139,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094421,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.188214,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196477,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.996872,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15698936,
      "relative_activity": 0.866218,
      "balance": 0.996872,
      "dry_up": 0.947946,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.048033,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.277787,
      "from_high_reference": -0.085422,
      "from_low_reference": 0.543892
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 71.207599,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.903686,
      "structural_low": 61.290171,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.007052,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001536,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.034319,
        "worst_return": -0.020215,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.065557,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041385,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.065557,
        "worst_return": -0.065557,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.028922,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.126757,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.028922,
        "worst_return": -0.028922,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.092116,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.155709,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.092116,
        "worst_return": -0.092116,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-15",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011716,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.022179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.069258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.003144,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.020215,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.023596,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023607,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.079008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.096282,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.035516,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.421969,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050773,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "trend": 69.866371,
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        "relative_strength": 18.002223,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 19.702269,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 76.199997,
        "volume": 15099792,
        "typical_volume": 19735658.75,
        "trend": 70.555989,
        "fair_value": 56.745094,
        "relative_strength": 15.840949,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.055649,
        "energy": 27.34943,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 74.089996,
        "volume": 15698936,
        "typical_volume": 18123538.85,
        "trend": 71.207599,
        "fair_value": 56.903686,
        "relative_strength": 9.442065,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.335982,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}