{ "ticker": { "uuid": "315049d4-b8a8-4cf7-8da0-7a1ccad6563f", "symbol": "INDORAMA", "name": "Indo Rama Synthetics (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.732, "architecture_energy": 75.964, "architecture_maturity": 28.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.192, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.36, "rotation_up": 78.17, "upward_expansion": 90.46, "deceleration": 46.48, "rotation_down": 11.51, "downward_expansion": 14.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.511334, 51.651455, 47.057667, 44.046538 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 59.450001, "trend_reference": 41.375, "distance_from_trend": 0.436858, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.380833, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.281779, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.899493, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.440863, "excess_performance": 0.484572, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.436858, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013323, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.281779, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.433179, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.278995, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.419177, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.440863, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.060651, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4653863, "relative_activity": 3.858742, "balance": 6.060651, "dry_up": 1.948378, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098454, "annualized_volatility": 0.472993, "from_high_reference": -0.207333, "from_low_reference": 1.05 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.375, "fair_value_reference": 46.380833, "structural_low": 29.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.016076, "positive_rate": 0.45, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": -0.017504, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.174133, "worst_return": -0.285007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.060872, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.105258, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.157448, "worst_return": -0.19448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.054191, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.016951, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.286245, "worst_return": -0.27193, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 56.73, "volume": 2780430, "typical_volume": 1046426.4, "trend": 40.875667, "fair_value": 46.285641, "relative_strength": 23.460402, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.767293, "energy": 65.110083, "activity_lines": [ 51.606667, 49.528, 45.375381, 42.848194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.450001, "volume": 4653863, "typical_volume": 1206056.95, "trend": 41.375, "fair_value": 46.380833, "relative_strength": 27.899493, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.731522, "energy": 75.964306, "activity_lines": [ 54.511334, 51.651455, 47.057667, 44.046538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }