{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3157aef1-baef-42dd-9adb-735e0811b23d",
    "symbol": "NUDV",
    "name": "NUVEEN ESG DIVIDEND ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.731,
    "architecture_energy": 83.065,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.066,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.349,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.42,
        "rotation_up": 78.51,
        "upward_expansion": 95.95,
        "deceleration": 41.19,
        "rotation_down": 14.72,
        "downward_expansion": 17.95
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.603767,
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        32.831041,
        32.452227
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 34.06,
    "trend_reference": 32.031496,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.063328,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.13156,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.255365,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.076574,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.060973,
    "excess_performance": -0.064652,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063328,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038953,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.255365,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045119,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010766,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030523,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060973,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.646346,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 31731,
      "relative_activity": 1.200611,
      "balance": 3.646346,
      "dry_up": 1.284969,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017057,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.095233,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001758,
      "from_low_reference": 0.234636
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 32.031496,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.13156,
      "structural_low": 30.18382,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.011192,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002147,
        "regime_survival": 0.821429,
        "best_return": 0.044976,
        "worst_return": -0.064169,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.028188,
        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.7,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.07696,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038148,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.001148,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.070052,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 23906.3,
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        "fair_value": 26.91259,
        "relative_strength": -0.083449,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.534875,
        "energy": 70.148995,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.4733,
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        "typical_volume": 23380.55,
        "trend": 31.785684,
        "fair_value": 26.982817,
        "relative_strength": 1.753259,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 75.541922,
        "energy": 76.513129,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.4931,
        "volume": 60950,
        "typical_volume": 25622.8,
        "trend": 31.909249,
        "fair_value": 27.055571,
        "relative_strength": 0.695431,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.528005,
        "energy": 70.928985,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.339333,
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          32.650323,
          32.313469
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.06,
        "volume": 31731,
        "typical_volume": 26429.05,
        "trend": 32.031496,
        "fair_value": 27.13156,
        "relative_strength": -1.076574,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.73084,
        "energy": 83.064534,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.603767,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}