{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31650a83-ea0f-4f22-b4bd-519ad8f6b11c", "symbol": "6582", "name": "Shin Foong Specialty and Applied Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 70.911, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -15.675, "architecture_energy": 11.481, "architecture_maturity": 16.172, "architecture_confidence": 70.033, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 68.6, "rotation_up": 21.3, "upward_expansion": 6.95, "deceleration": 61.51, "rotation_down": 41.33, "downward_expansion": 41.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.97, 32.250909, 32.038333, 32.055699 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 31.799999, "trend_reference": 32.091667, "distance_from_trend": -0.009089, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 44.62835, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.287448, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.278166, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.003135, "excess_performance": -0.444507, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009089, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007372, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.287448, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052439, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.302782, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080558, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003135, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.773579, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 186227, "relative_activity": 0.438766, "balance": 0.773579, "dry_up": 0.565291, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050919, "annualized_volatility": 0.197503, "from_high_reference": -0.214815, "from_low_reference": 0.098446 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.091667, "fair_value_reference": 44.62835, "structural_low": 29.799999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.0128, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.015249, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.170956, "worst_return": -0.101142, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.000685, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.119565, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.241036, "worst_return": -0.106688, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.031098, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.259873, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.270916, "worst_return": -0.384013, 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32.266364, 32.031429, 32.082043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 32.299999, "volume": 269460, "typical_volume": 465773.05, "trend": 32.191667, "fair_value": 45.143688, "relative_strength": -27.611215, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.920913, "energy": 23.828686, "activity_lines": [ 32.756667, 32.345455, 32.052619, 32.085592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.299999, "volume": 212622, "typical_volume": 460716.25, "trend": 32.138334, "fair_value": 45.008349, "relative_strength": -28.363981, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.03763, "energy": 15.895814, "activity_lines": [ 32.626666, 32.413636, 32.08, 32.092581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.150002, "volume": 253580, "typical_volume": 459464.55, "trend": 32.093334, "fair_value": 44.87924, "relative_strength": -26.953795, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.439485, "energy": 4.9918, "activity_lines": [ 32.39, 32.424546, 32.09, 32.093334 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.799999, "volume": 307286, "typical_volume": 456245.05, "trend": 32.09, "fair_value": 44.755971, "relative_strength": -28.689498, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.237426, "energy": 8.420132, "activity_lines": [ 32.126666, 32.348182, 32.06381, 32.074409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 31.799999, "volume": 186227, "typical_volume": 424434.0, "trend": 32.091667, "fair_value": 44.62835, "relative_strength": -30.278166, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.674674, "energy": 11.481229, "activity_lines": [ 31.97, 32.250909, 32.038333, 32.055699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }