{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31691d2c-c5e7-40eb-96d3-db4c46e12d64", "symbol": "002436", "name": "Shenzhen Fastprint Circuit Tech Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.651, "architecture_energy": 28.756, "architecture_maturity": 67.616, "architecture_confidence": 75.547, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.35, "rotation_up": 15.55, "upward_expansion": 48.21, "deceleration": 94.0, "rotation_down": 47.25, "downward_expansion": 27.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.646, 37.272, 36.833936, 34.040837 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 33.799999, "trend_reference": 30.513677, "distance_from_trend": 0.1077, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.726229, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.020778, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 26.917736, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.433973, "excess_performance": 0.426573, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.1077, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.259608, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.020778, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152546, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.269177, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06943, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.433973, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.842273, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 627385698, "relative_activity": 1.184882, "balance": 0.842273, "dry_up": 1.216845, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201212, "annualized_volatility": 0.867353, "from_high_reference": -0.383099, "from_low_reference": 1.140975 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.513677, "fair_value_reference": 16.726229, "structural_low": 19.494189, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.004207, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.025177, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.165197, "worst_return": -0.284343, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.022258, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.023259, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.119048, "worst_return": -0.329286, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.139824, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.049613, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.497894, "worst_return": -0.208503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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43.266126, 37.066874, 33.34166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 34.060001, "volume": 516836605, "typical_volume": 495218267.6, "trend": 29.405671, "fair_value": 16.390268, "relative_strength": 36.943239, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.662868, "energy": 45.450186, "activity_lines": [ 41.974001, 42.102674, 37.231, 33.671846 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 33.799999, "volume": 800798432, "typical_volume": 507776365.45, "trend": 29.892856, "fair_value": 16.512917, "relative_strength": 33.61977, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.407316, "energy": 26.474747, "activity_lines": [ 38.212, 40.854206, 37.331741, 33.955351 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.51, "volume": 632219653, "typical_volume": 516899798.8, "trend": 30.092105, "fair_value": 16.596455, "relative_strength": 9.665646, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.384425, "energy": 23.139912, "activity_lines": [ 33.570667, 38.419637, 36.791861, 33.801618 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 33.799999, "volume": 627385698, "typical_volume": 529492210.35, "trend": 30.513677, "fair_value": 16.726229, "relative_strength": 26.917736, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.650828, "energy": 28.755794, "activity_lines": [ 32.646, 37.272, 36.833936, 34.040837 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }