{ "ticker": { "uuid": "316bee68-21f7-4ee8-bfb1-8543a82a5c9a", "symbol": "HYIN", "name": "WISDOMTREE PRIVATE CREDIT AND ALTERNATIVE INCOME FUND", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 68.654, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.957, "architecture_energy": 9.968, "architecture_maturity": 37.773, "architecture_confidence": 62.662, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.57, "rotation_up": 25.05, "upward_expansion": 18.82, "deceleration": 40.33, "rotation_down": 28.22, "downward_expansion": 55.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.132731, 14.104591, 14.165218, 14.200862 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 14.42, "trend_reference": 14.351197, "distance_from_trend": 0.004794, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.669985, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.017041, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.093669, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.021795, "excess_performance": -0.14742, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.004794, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022123, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.017041, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015288, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.130937, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012504, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.021795, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.740894, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72260, "relative_activity": 0.708522, "balance": 1.740894, "dry_up": 0.980319, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024421, "annualized_volatility": 0.136621, "from_high_reference": -0.111382, "from_low_reference": 0.064647 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.351197, "fair_value_reference": 14.669985, "structural_low": 13.544394, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.008374, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.015147, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.085379, "worst_return": -0.044807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.025736, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.081578, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.104773, "worst_return": -0.065463, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.049875, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.178651, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.063825, "worst_return": -0.065381, "sufficient": 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"fair_value": 14.6599, "relative_strength": -12.136821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.781808, "energy": 20.406055, "activity_lines": [ 14.143098, 14.113771, 14.196857, 14.270361 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.881785, "volume": 111506, "typical_volume": 104150.25, "trend": 14.42783, "fair_value": 14.661019, "relative_strength": -13.383007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.431154, "energy": 29.595764, "activity_lines": [ 14.072325, 14.073034, 14.167935, 14.232512 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.9, "volume": 120130, "typical_volume": 103050.0, "trend": 14.382748, "fair_value": 14.663687, "relative_strength": -13.727457, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.295329, "energy": 31.468564, "activity_lines": [ 14.012505, 14.040446, 14.142043, 14.198458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.42, "volume": 72260, "typical_volume": 101987.0, "trend": 14.351197, "fair_value": 14.669985, "relative_strength": -13.093669, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.956626, "energy": 9.967692, "activity_lines": [ 14.132731, 14.104591, 14.165218, 14.200862 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }