{ "ticker": { "uuid": "316ffe5b-4ff9-4826-aa73-42a72cf345f1", "symbol": "MITSIB", "name": "Mitsib Leasing Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.262, "architecture_energy": 71.127, "architecture_maturity": 16.196, "architecture_confidence": 77.919, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.62, "rotation_up": 72.27, "upward_expansion": 88.13, "deceleration": 45.56, "rotation_down": 10.25, "downward_expansion": 14.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.615333, 0.592545, 0.56813, 0.557766 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.65, "trend_reference": 0.552038, "distance_from_trend": 0.177456, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.666571, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.024861, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.928, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.164639, "excess_performance": -0.027686, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.177456, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007958, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price 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"A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.068965, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.142857, "median_excess_return": -0.106887, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.016394, "worst_return": -0.157143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.221375, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.219893, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.114753, "worst_return": -0.228571, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.148538, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.271205, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.097075, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"fair_value": 0.670667, "relative_strength": -9.413358, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.676735, "energy": 25.558009, "activity_lines": [ 0.572667, 0.563636, 0.549396, 0.546052 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.63, "volume": 2419500, "typical_volume": 2081560.0, "trend": 0.550258, "fair_value": 0.668585, "relative_strength": -1.957191, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.797356, "energy": 60.232923, "activity_lines": [ 0.592, 0.577091, 0.558074, 0.551331 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.65, "volume": 3503600, "typical_volume": 2219190.0, "trend": 0.552038, "fair_value": 0.666571, "relative_strength": 1.928, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.262211, "energy": 71.127302, "activity_lines": [ 0.615333, 0.592545, 0.56813, 0.557766 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }