{ "ticker": { "uuid": "317278bb-2795-46f2-8f04-a30436de7bb0", "symbol": "BIG", "name": "BigBen Interactive", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -86.163, "architecture_energy": 54.574, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.911, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.35, "rotation_up": 23.31, "upward_expansion": 8.42, "deceleration": 56.55, "rotation_down": 62.12, "downward_expansion": 79.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.2951, 0.309945, 0.334693, 0.355139 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.1798, "trend_reference": 0.429527, "distance_from_trend": -0.5814, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.706954, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.894666, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -77.421041, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.779387, "excess_performance": -0.832698, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.5814, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.337917, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.894666, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076609, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.77421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167561, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.779387, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.399387, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2344128, "relative_activity": 7.257235, "balance": 0.399387, "dry_up": 2.858583, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.29905, "annualized_volatility": 1.478766, "from_high_reference": -0.897257, "from_low_reference": 0.284286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.429527, "fair_value_reference": 1.706954, "structural_low": 0.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 48, "median_return": -0.048102, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.063735, "regime_survival": 0.895833, "best_return": 0.495556, "worst_return": -0.619018, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.167975, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.130588, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.477497, "worst_return": -0.693775, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.337404, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.299385, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.09364, "worst_return": -0.65261, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-29", "end": "2024-02-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.254335, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-02-16", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.080986, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.176667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-21", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.141129, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.399107, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.052113, 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.254178, "energy": 54.032985, "activity_lines": [ 0.3289, 0.335482, 0.348017, 0.379322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.372, "volume": 312759, "typical_volume": 210123.9, "trend": 0.454, "fair_value": 1.731538, "relative_strength": -53.645026, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.547548, "energy": 32.092864, "activity_lines": [ 0.345267, 0.340027, 0.350667, 0.372829 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1798, "volume": 2344128, "typical_volume": 323005.65, "trend": 0.429527, "fair_value": 1.706954, "relative_strength": -77.421041, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.162939, "energy": 54.574146, "activity_lines": [ 0.2951, 0.309945, 0.334693, 0.355139 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }