{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "317282f4-3440-4636-9fd2-1c81987a1f47",
    "symbol": "ISFA",
    "name": "iShares Core FTSE 100 UCITS ETF GBP (Dist)",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.871,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.68,
    "architecture_energy": 84.678,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.572,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.344,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.94,
        "rotation_up": 82.92,
        "upward_expansion": 97.41,
        "deceleration": 39.17,
        "rotation_down": 9.28,
        "downward_expansion": 19.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.3208,
        12.167798,
        11.968149,
        11.869015
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 12.425,
    "trend_reference": 11.753351,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.057145,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.669988,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.284903,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.386756,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.072951,
    "excess_performance": -0.043711,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057145,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035844,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.284903,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053279,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013868,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016248,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072951,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.660014,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 259541,
      "relative_activity": 1.162125,
      "balance": 1.660014,
      "dry_up": 1.430066,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020175,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.131011,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006477,
      "from_low_reference": 0.232628
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.753351,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.669988,
      "structural_low": 10.921,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 45,
        "median_return": 0.00925,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006493,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.065568,
        "worst_return": -0.10065,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.029337,
        "positive_rate": 0.9375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.9375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010097,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.07574,
        "worst_return": -0.067143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.068459,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02683,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.028628,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.017991,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "trend": 11.588079,
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        "relative_strength": -2.197469,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 213412.85,
        "trend": 11.628667,
        "fair_value": 9.583236,
        "relative_strength": -1.79243,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 74.316864,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.258,
        "volume": 390062,
        "typical_volume": 221752.35,
        "trend": 11.67166,
        "fair_value": 9.610732,
        "relative_strength": -0.813412,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 75.506516,
        "energy": 78.947452,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.398,
        "volume": 362762,
        "typical_volume": 220120.25,
        "trend": 11.715738,
        "fair_value": 9.640279,
        "relative_strength": -0.51829,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.210406,
        "energy": 82.106524,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.2424,
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          11.823256
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.425,
        "volume": 259541,
        "typical_volume": 223333.2,
        "trend": 11.753351,
        "fair_value": 9.669988,
        "relative_strength": -1.386756,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.680316,
        "energy": 84.678398,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.3208,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}