{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3183ab66-7fd6-4a3e-b0eb-13e78c45b660", "symbol": "MSTQ", "name": "LHA MARKET STATE TACTICAL Q ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 68.925, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.086, "architecture_energy": 22.848, "architecture_maturity": 62.077, "architecture_confidence": 80.64, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.6, "rotation_up": 27.22, "upward_expansion": 50.81, "deceleration": 81.93, "rotation_down": 36.29, "downward_expansion": 28.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.980227, 38.269138, 38.332718, 37.483743 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 39.1968, "trend_reference": 36.426923, "distance_from_trend": 0.076039, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.631581, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.322805, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.382898, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.149119, "excess_performance": 0.023494, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076039, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036891, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.322805, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063334, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.013829, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048704, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.149119, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.873374, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19390, "relative_activity": 1.980947, "balance": 0.873374, "dry_up": 2.044569, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037561, "annualized_volatility": 0.194765, "from_high_reference": -0.035274, "from_low_reference": 0.233154 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.426923, "fair_value_reference": 29.631581, "structural_low": 31.7858, "invalidation": "A 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.032598, "energy": 26.638057, "activity_lines": [ 38.527013, 38.863425, 38.155474, 37.188124 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.9093, "volume": 39400, "typical_volume": 8801.05, "trend": 36.207573, "fair_value": 29.424591, "relative_strength": -2.937014, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.272177, "energy": 22.149663, "activity_lines": [ 37.892607, 38.475738, 38.150081, 37.237297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.13, "volume": 16072, "typical_volume": 9300.1, "trend": 36.299307, "fair_value": 29.519882, "relative_strength": -3.343666, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.52065, "energy": 20.92154, "activity_lines": [ 37.547347, 38.166316, 38.151465, 37.296808 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.1968, "volume": 19390, "typical_volume": 9788.25, "trend": 36.426923, "fair_value": 29.631581, "relative_strength": -1.382898, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.08619, "energy": 22.848193, "activity_lines": [ 37.980227, 38.269138, 38.332718, 37.483743 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }