{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "319106ee-b5ec-4e0b-8a6f-d8692191f3f5",
    "symbol": "HFXI",
    "name": "NYLI FTSE INTERNATIONAL EQUITY CURRENCY NEUTRAL ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.457,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 52.696,
    "architecture_energy": 30.959,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.826,
    "architecture_confidence": 85.634,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.68,
        "rotation_up": 33.41,
        "upward_expansion": 60.29,
        "deceleration": 90.12,
        "rotation_down": 25.98,
        "downward_expansion": 14.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.514667,
        37.524417,
        37.161102,
        36.529972
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 38.21,
    "trend_reference": 35.774128,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.06809,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.756852,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.376597,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.388876,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.099835,
    "excess_performance": -0.02579,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06809,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056837,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.376597,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012131,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013889,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028957,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099835,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.15045,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1376916,
      "relative_activity": 1.006802,
      "balance": 1.15045,
      "dry_up": 0.969021,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031864,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.188979,
      "from_high_reference": -0.013554,
      "from_low_reference": 0.321017
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.774128,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.756852,
      "structural_low": 32.210954,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.06382,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012217,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.090797,
        "worst_return": -0.051414,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.090257,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050037,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.161091,
        "worst_return": -0.017872,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.06436,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.059404,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.209944,
        "worst_return": 0.020219,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.229793,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02737,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.319116,
        "worst_return": 0.095191,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042624,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.015648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.006993,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042676,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
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        "return": 0.025349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.068165,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 27.36341,
        "relative_strength": 2.87516,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.83,
        "volume": 1194014,
        "typical_volume": 1391801.9,
        "trend": 35.297387,
        "fair_value": 27.457665,
        "relative_strength": 2.136065,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.810241,
        "energy": 33.787593,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.97,
        "volume": 1195663,
        "typical_volume": 1330755.25,
        "trend": 35.453607,
        "fair_value": 27.551238,
        "relative_strength": 2.96393,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.901895,
        "energy": 27.019991,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.37,
        "volume": 1534390,
        "typical_volume": 1341710.35,
        "trend": 35.612258,
        "fair_value": 27.651762,
        "relative_strength": 2.774439,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.531119,
        "energy": 23.050168,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.206,
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          36.362376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.21,
        "volume": 1376916,
        "typical_volume": 1367613.3,
        "trend": 35.774128,
        "fair_value": 27.756852,
        "relative_strength": 1.388876,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.696141,
        "energy": 30.95896,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.514667,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}