{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31ac9a00-45f3-4f79-b28e-c56e0558d43b", "symbol": "301216", "name": "Wankai New Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.274, "architecture_energy": 88.2, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.228, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.81, "rotation_up": 8.2, "upward_expansion": 21.98, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 80.99, "downward_expansion": 97.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.482, 18.472958, 21.826718, 22.974363 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.450001, "trend_reference": 23.679194, "distance_from_trend": -0.263066, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.286861, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.141503, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.663632, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.234649, "excess_performance": -0.242049, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.263066, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032733, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.141503, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.904805, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.206636, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.513753, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.234649, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.277371, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61901188, "relative_activity": 1.055767, "balance": 0.277371, "dry_up": 1.179147, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12723, "annualized_volatility": 0.594988, "from_high_reference": -0.444975, "from_low_reference": 0.223703 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.679194, "fair_value_reference": 15.286861, "structural_low": 14.83, 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -64.00506, "energy": 81.578388, "activity_lines": [ 19.712153, 21.790365, 24.352658, 24.449218 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.07, "volume": 76402143, "typical_volume": 66346580.2, "trend": 23.711194, "fair_value": 15.2773, "relative_strength": -28.993796, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -63.551988, "energy": 86.171595, "activity_lines": [ 17.730715, 20.262441, 23.380345, 23.887313 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.77, "volume": 67358536, "typical_volume": 62106360.5, "trend": 23.659527, "fair_value": 15.275007, "relative_strength": -24.543475, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.578513, "energy": 92.137667, "activity_lines": [ 16.587568, 19.111972, 22.500984, 23.374978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.450001, "volume": 61901188, "typical_volume": 58631508.4, "trend": 23.679194, "fair_value": 15.286861, "relative_strength": -20.663632, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.273529, "energy": 88.199852, "activity_lines": [ 16.482, 18.472958, 21.826718, 22.974363 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }