{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31b03e55-b7c6-441c-b21f-834bae6fc1a3", "symbol": "4939", "name": "Asia Electronic Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.883, "architecture_energy": 27.119, "architecture_maturity": 60.368, "architecture_confidence": 92.16, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.14, "rotation_up": 37.94, "upward_expansion": 64.42, "deceleration": 85.07, "rotation_down": 24.73, "downward_expansion": 14.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.213334, 59.701818, 56.358961, 51.294444 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 61.400002, "trend_reference": 45.641672, "distance_from_trend": 0.345262, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.627944, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.395822, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.979817, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.912831, "excess_performance": 0.471459, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.345262, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.252871, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.395822, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.689705, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.229798, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.293214, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.912831, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.215014, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56488697, "relative_activity": 1.00528, "balance": 5.215014, "dry_up": 1.804009, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.190372, "annualized_volatility": 0.812719, "from_high_reference": -0.214834, "from_low_reference": 2.238258 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.641672, "fair_value_reference": 25.627944, "structural_low": 27.122425, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.002283, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": 0.014001, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.42931, "worst_return": -0.197787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.060786, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.022121, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.623093, "worst_return": -0.060475, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.023332, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017509, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.808279, "worst_return": -0.187703, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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26.339409, "activity_lines": [ 57.486667, 59.339338, 53.984993, 49.139256 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 60.799999, "volume": 76451012, "typical_volume": 53682048.35, "trend": 44.789387, "fair_value": 25.342268, "relative_strength": 27.376377, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.359242, "energy": 27.46384, "activity_lines": [ 58.153333, 59.561818, 55.216599, 50.222791 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 61.400002, "volume": 56488697, "typical_volume": 56191985.1, "trend": 45.641672, "fair_value": 25.627944, "relative_strength": 22.979817, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.883095, "energy": 27.118929, "activity_lines": [ 59.213334, 59.701818, 56.358961, 51.294444 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }