{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31ba243c-572e-4684-b0d5-3d62b1d4205b", "symbol": "SNAV", "name": "MOHR SECTOR NAV ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 70.161, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.218, "architecture_energy": 44.516, "architecture_maturity": 48.669, "architecture_confidence": 70.798, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.36, "rotation_up": 43.26, "upward_expansion": 72.92, "deceleration": 90.87, "rotation_down": 28.87, "downward_expansion": 10.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.42272, 38.399655, 38.07979, 37.510735 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 39.0814, "trend_reference": 36.849207, "distance_from_trend": 0.060576, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.30255, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.248505, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.737834, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.088779, "excess_performance": -0.036846, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060576, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032716, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.248505, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008869, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027378, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001354, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088779, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.937864, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12580, "relative_activity": 0.843398, "balance": 0.937864, "dry_up": 1.137163, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019829, "annualized_volatility": 0.102552, "from_high_reference": -0.004209, "from_low_reference": 0.184644 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.849207, "fair_value_reference": 31.30255, "structural_low": 34.2798, "invalidation": "A 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"2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.10351, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039985, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.041785, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.002343, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.002578, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.026928, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.015087, "energy": 59.252424, "activity_lines": [ 38.40618, 38.25912, 37.410815, 36.913663 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 38.6776, "volume": 9900, "typical_volume": 13285.6, "trend": 36.43538, "fair_value": 30.996402, "relative_strength": -1.647461, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.717056, "energy": 57.717842, "activity_lines": [ 38.52724, 38.381644, 37.594201, 37.066255 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 38.2543, "volume": 6969, "typical_volume": 13301.2, "trend": 36.545857, "fair_value": 31.071796, "relative_strength": -1.150394, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.923192, "energy": 52.453827, "activity_lines": [ 38.4575, 38.389793, 37.725951, 37.183605 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.8372, "volume": 38689, "typical_volume": 14802.8, "trend": 36.629953, "fair_value": 31.143481, "relative_strength": -1.597615, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.487783, "energy": 40.615123, "activity_lines": [ 38.254547, 38.308573, 37.809765, 37.266917 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.059, "volume": 9609, "typical_volume": 14843.9, "trend": 36.731273, "fair_value": 31.219986, "relative_strength": -2.031514, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.569649, "energy": 32.608902, "activity_lines": [ 38.161867, 38.261418, 37.903351, 37.359114 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.0814, "volume": 12580, "typical_volume": 14915.85, "trend": 36.849207, "fair_value": 31.30255, "relative_strength": -2.737834, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.218258, "energy": 44.515976, "activity_lines": [ 38.42272, 38.399655, 38.07979, 37.510735 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }