{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31c0e5e6-7ab1-4943-9954-ade42c5ee51a", "symbol": "M1TA34", "name": "Meta Platforms, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.751, "architecture_energy": 22.895, "architecture_maturity": 13.793, "architecture_confidence": 93.709, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.71, "rotation_up": 22.69, "upward_expansion": 6.09, "deceleration": 45.21, "rotation_down": 45.31, "downward_expansion": 72.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 108.192667, 108.923073, 109.38906, 110.59081 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 107.809998, "trend_reference": 113.276354, "distance_from_trend": -0.048257, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 107.577004, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002166, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.890483, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.11515, "excess_performance": -0.058101, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.048257, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043557, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002166, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032157, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.158905, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.154213, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.11515, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.761067, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1598349, "relative_activity": 1.701336, "balance": 0.761067, "dry_up": 1.909362, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084965, "annualized_volatility": 0.453923, "from_high_reference": -0.295321, "from_low_reference": 0.131745 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 113.276354, "fair_value_reference": 107.577004, "structural_low": 95.260002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.081735, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.08291, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.219231, "worst_return": -0.326952, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.094929, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.062855, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.475769, "worst_return": -0.44137, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.0669, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.22778, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.926538, "worst_return": -0.52064, 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"close": 118.160004, "volume": 1569222, "typical_volume": 758433.4, "trend": 115.505334, "fair_value": 106.580902, "relative_strength": -11.791841, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.682146, "energy": 13.294213, "activity_lines": [ 114.475335, 111.286708, 110.867831, 112.391981 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 108.300003, "volume": 1457321, "typical_volume": 797549.2, "trend": 114.692881, "fair_value": 106.924981, "relative_strength": -18.413677, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.470367, "energy": 20.750461, "activity_lines": [ 113.392002, 110.950319, 110.589905, 111.927121 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 100.03, "volume": 2550239, "typical_volume": 901984.6, "trend": 113.859948, "fair_value": 107.221912, "relative_strength": -25.269932, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.040209, "energy": 24.116802, "activity_lines": [ 109.448668, 109.150252, 109.57922, 110.981129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 107.809998, "volume": 1598349, "typical_volume": 939467.1, "trend": 113.276354, "fair_value": 107.577004, "relative_strength": -15.890483, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.751164, "energy": 22.895234, "activity_lines": [ 108.192667, 108.923073, 109.38906, 110.59081 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }