{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31d3db1b-32f4-4639-aed3-db63cdc1aab4", "symbol": "OPT", "name": "Optima Health plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 96.626, "architecture_energy": 98.664, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 74.431, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.63, "rotation_up": 88.4, "upward_expansion": 97.67, "deceleration": 41.83, "rotation_down": 8.0, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 231.366667, 214.972727, 203.059908, 198.419113 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 251.0, "trend_reference": 196.319357, "distance_from_trend": 0.278529, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 189.808132, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.322388, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.423497, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.175644, "excess_performance": 0.124409, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.278529, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011854, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.322388, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.31477, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.144235, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.262315, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.175644, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.049797, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1494403, "relative_activity": 1.638265, "balance": 2.049797, "dry_up": 1.929051, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038186, "annualized_volatility": 0.344087, "from_high_reference": -0.011811, "from_low_reference": 0.418079 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 196.319357, "fair_value_reference": 189.808132, "structural_low": 177.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.002646, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.034483, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.182033, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 140.0, "volume": 7041497, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, 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"direction": 27.250205, "energy": 30.617125, "activity_lines": [ 192.5, 190.990909, 189.337252, 189.870172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 211.5, "volume": 961605, "typical_volume": 802937.05, "trend": 192.919357, "fair_value": 188.516816, "relative_strength": -2.14318, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 63.237312, "energy": 69.886796, "activity_lines": [ 198.933333, 194.909091, 191.634486, 191.09903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 250.0, "volume": 1632982, "typical_volume": 859927.2, "trend": 194.619357, "fair_value": 189.164007, "relative_strength": 14.234827, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 97.792521, "energy": 98.287803, "activity_lines": [ 216.933333, 205.409091, 197.460292, 194.781653 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 251.0, "volume": 1494403, "typical_volume": 912186.55, "trend": 196.319357, "fair_value": 189.808132, "relative_strength": 14.423497, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 96.626245, "energy": 98.664148, "activity_lines": [ 231.366667, 214.972727, 203.059908, 198.419113 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }