{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31d8f458-c711-4291-ab04-02ee682cba87", "symbol": "GLW", "name": "Corning Incorporated", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.92, "architecture_energy": 24.735, "architecture_maturity": 55.273, "architecture_confidence": 71.652, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.78, "rotation_up": 17.0, "upward_expansion": 44.93, "deceleration": 84.55, "rotation_down": 47.96, "downward_expansion": 36.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 136.337334, 147.893819, 152.311203, 146.461197 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 144.880005, "trend_reference": 134.749084, "distance_from_trend": 0.075184, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.65688, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.428555, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.96583, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.458239, "excess_performance": 0.283992, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075184, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.250977, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.428555, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.895929, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.139658, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.650213, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.458239, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.428909, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2169, "relative_activity": 1.45103, "balance": 0.428909, "dry_up": 1.519434, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146824, "annualized_volatility": 0.701885, "from_high_reference": -0.264045, "from_low_reference": 1.659751 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 134.749084, "fair_value_reference": 59.65688, "structural_low": 101.779999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.087509, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.05968, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.132973, "worst_return": -0.179605, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.294661, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.287111, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.509958, "worst_return": -0.212374, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.482409, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.472582, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.19639, "worst_return": -0.02774, "sufficient": false }, { 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128.916289, "fair_value": 57.632374, "relative_strength": 13.503997, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.017683, "energy": 24.664738, "activity_lines": [ 159.830667, 161.903619, 156.504384, 145.96609 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 133.119995, "volume": 3092, "typical_volume": 1513.55, "trend": 130.848469, "fair_value": 58.303215, "relative_strength": 9.792319, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.52462, "energy": 15.435726, "activity_lines": [ 148.985332, 156.504274, 155.179313, 146.237296 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 121.82, "volume": 2143, "typical_volume": 1452.8, "trend": 132.38107, "fair_value": 58.903642, "relative_strength": -0.275754, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": -11.779499, "energy": 27.200242, "activity_lines": [ 136.725332, 149.705091, 152.668197, 145.654814 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 144.880005, "volume": 2169, "typical_volume": 1494.8, "trend": 134.749084, "fair_value": 59.65688, "relative_strength": 13.96583, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.919593, "energy": 24.734841, "activity_lines": [ 136.337334, 147.893819, 152.311203, 146.461197 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }