{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31eb5de8-5e84-4e38-ba2e-0b160353627c", "symbol": "ABVX", "name": "ABIVAX Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.698, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.959, "architecture_energy": 31.847, "architecture_maturity": 13.491, "architecture_confidence": 86.314, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.65, "rotation_up": 52.68, "upward_expansion": 76.38, "deceleration": 57.77, "rotation_down": 17.25, "downward_expansion": 3.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 113.16, 110.954546, 106.410477, 104.820431 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 114.099998, "trend_reference": 103.301667, "distance_from_trend": 0.104532, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.736923, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.871385, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.777743, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.177503, "excess_performance": 0.124191, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104532, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007002, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.871385, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.391528, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.107777, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.296737, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.177503, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.573594, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 616602, "relative_activity": 0.753953, "balance": 1.573594, "dry_up": 0.777606, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130857, "annualized_volatility": 0.933407, "from_high_reference": -0.179137, "from_low_reference": 0.984348 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 103.301667, "fair_value_reference": 39.736923, "structural_low": 78.800003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.027431, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.009431, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.2, "worst_return": -0.125874, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.034942, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.042609, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.389474, "worst_return": -0.449041, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.216306, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.269706, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.870175, "worst_return": -0.418543, "sufficient": 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[ 116.443333, 107.41091, 104.030239, 103.242903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 112.800003, "volume": 633250, "typical_volume": 973745.45, "trend": 103.071667, "fair_value": 38.533461, "relative_strength": 15.832005, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.907706, "energy": 49.755004, "activity_lines": [ 117.600001, 109.049092, 105.041429, 103.850753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 106.800003, "volume": 676960, "typical_volume": 964666.25, "trend": 102.798334, "fair_value": 39.111154, "relative_strength": 7.114094, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.415334, "energy": 56.676806, "activity_lines": [ 114.906668, 109.346365, 105.391668, 104.091291 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.099998, "volume": 616602, "typical_volume": 817825.1, "trend": 103.301667, "fair_value": 39.736923, "relative_strength": 10.777743, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.958761, "energy": 31.846549, "activity_lines": [ 113.16, 110.954546, 106.410477, 104.820431 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }