{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "31f1ccd4-fa18-44b3-91ce-520dbd49a0d0",
    "symbol": "CCL-A",
    "name": "CCL Industries Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 77.576,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.247,
    "architecture_energy": 82.376,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.806,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.499,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.62,
        "rotation_up": 73.99,
        "upward_expansion": 93.71,
        "deceleration": 45.24,
        "rotation_down": 10.34,
        "downward_expansion": 20.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        92.612665,
        91.508882,
        89.386304,
        88.593345
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 92.75,
    "trend_reference": 87.493334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060081,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 73.945591,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254301,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.221514,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.110944,
    "excess_performance": -0.009477,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060081,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017911,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254301,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073614,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022215,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056628,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110944,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 45.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 100,
      "relative_activity": 0.143885,
      "balance": 45.0,
      "dry_up": 0.359712,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020685,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.195011,
      "from_high_reference": -0.00301,
      "from_low_reference": 0.230219
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 87.493334,
      "fair_value_reference": 73.945591,
      "structural_low": 82.514534,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.001505,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.464286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014682,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.066092,
        "worst_return": -0.131806,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.006777,
        "positive_rate": 0.3,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
        "median_excess_return": -0.082449,
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        "worst_return": -0.092642,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.110591,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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          87.959461,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 84.625435,
        "volume": 600,
        "typical_volume": 825.0,
        "trend": 84.529813,
        "fair_value": 71.538772,
        "relative_strength": -7.68098,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.92274,
        "energy": 17.631204,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.800259,
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          86.828032,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 84.615479,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 830.0,
        "trend": 84.837227,
        "fair_value": 71.666311,
        "relative_strength": -7.884308,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.003064,
        "energy": 22.245115,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.838708,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 85.451874,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 780.0,
        "trend": 85.139119,
        "fair_value": 71.782433,
        "relative_strength": -6.05727,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -0.464768,
        "energy": 30.92406,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 87.62252,
        "volume": 3300,
        "typical_volume": 935.0,
        "trend": 85.536516,
        "fair_value": 71.939009,
        "relative_strength": -5.158508,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.735301,
        "energy": 27.605966,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 88.219948,
        "volume": 700,
        "typical_volume": 900.0,
        "trend": 85.953827,
        "fair_value": 72.123208,
        "relative_strength": -5.05265,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.289034,
        "energy": 14.480844,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.786789,
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          86.830412,
          86.564893
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 82.514534,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 875.0,
        "trend": 86.180957,
        "fair_value": 72.256192,
        "relative_strength": -9.935435,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.331962,
        "energy": 21.037302,
        "activity_lines": [
          85.589283,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 83.101997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 760.0,
        "trend": 86.0576,
        "fair_value": 72.409024,
        "relative_strength": -10.315233,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.14302,
        "energy": 27.295674,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.728325,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 83.459999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 700.0,
        "trend": 85.946176,
        "fair_value": 72.56415,
        "relative_strength": -9.672555,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.048103,
        "energy": 54.007883,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.0876,
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          85.901727,
          85.976773
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 92.050003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 670.0,
        "trend": 86.167385,
        "fair_value": 72.755775,
        "relative_strength": -0.208384,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.786261,
        "energy": 18.600281,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.443001,
          86.037016,
          86.456596,
          86.370569
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 92.050003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 655.0,
        "trend": 86.388595,
        "fair_value": 72.95365,
        "relative_strength": -0.726063,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.799509,
        "energy": 55.33668,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.503237,
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          86.970691,
          86.750092
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 93.029999,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 665.0,
        "trend": 86.711591,
        "fair_value": 73.142919,
        "relative_strength": 0.376706,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.995635,
        "energy": 81.628515,
        "activity_lines": [
          90.634801,
          88.39675,
          87.549012,
          87.17857
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 92.489998,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 670.0,
        "trend": 87.022959,
        "fair_value": 73.331728,
        "relative_strength": 0.096518,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.329311,
        "energy": 83.829817,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.885333,
          89.356453,
          88.042131,
          87.55137
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 92.489998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 660.0,
        "trend": 87.214817,
        "fair_value": 73.53322,
        "relative_strength": -0.015994,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.094748,
        "energy": 86.882507,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.509999,
          90.172982,
          88.504047,
          87.904083
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 92.489998,
        "volume": 800,
        "typical_volume": 690.0,
        "trend": 87.341609,
        "fair_value": 73.73704,
        "relative_strength": 0.552046,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.249577,
        "energy": 86.542802,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.532665,
          90.861545,
          88.945194,
          88.244417
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 92.75,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 695.0,
        "trend": 87.493334,
        "fair_value": 73.945591,
        "relative_strength": -2.221514,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.247436,
        "energy": 82.376422,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.612665,
          91.508882,
          89.386304,
          88.593345
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}