{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31fbf79a-7e2d-4289-b28a-bd8b63bce365", "symbol": "6609", "name": "Taiwan Takisawa Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -16.283, "architecture_energy": 28.207, "architecture_maturity": 14.957, "architecture_confidence": 63.199, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.16, "rotation_up": 18.22, "upward_expansion": 18.93, "deceleration": 54.49, "rotation_down": 53.96, "downward_expansion": 46.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.179999, 38.868181, 40.26, 40.111935 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 38.599998, "trend_reference": 40.081667, "distance_from_trend": -0.036966, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.863525, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.176332, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.96127, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.017812, "excess_performance": -0.459184, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036966, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030819, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.176332, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06738, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.299613, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020061, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.017812, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.227654, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 676538, "relative_activity": 0.206394, "balance": 0.227654, "dry_up": 0.297949, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116481, "annualized_volatility": 0.461497, "from_high_reference": -0.301989, "from_low_reference": 0.169697 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 40.081667, "fair_value_reference": 46.863525, "structural_low": 33.299999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.029605, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.002752, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.166244, "worst_return": -0.115656, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.047233, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.126736, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.106858, "worst_return": -0.146686, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.087334, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.052396, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.580625, "worst_return": -0.102962, 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"direction": -16.308795, "energy": 15.069654, "activity_lines": [ 39.396666, 40.618182, 40.987619, 40.523978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.349998, "volume": 1289995, "typical_volume": 3329603.6, "trend": 39.998333, "fair_value": 46.803014, "relative_strength": -32.019843, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.707629, "energy": 28.306003, "activity_lines": [ 38.276666, 39.590909, 40.610714, 40.287957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.700001, "volume": 807028, "typical_volume": 3324791.25, "trend": 40.03, "fair_value": 46.835135, "relative_strength": -28.388177, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.446004, "energy": 29.328843, "activity_lines": [ 38.136666, 39.172727, 40.450238, 40.204193 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 38.599998, "volume": 676538, "typical_volume": 3277889.15, "trend": 40.081667, "fair_value": 46.863525, "relative_strength": -29.96127, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.283164, "energy": 28.206949, "activity_lines": [ 38.179999, 38.868181, 40.26, 40.111935 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }