{ "ticker": { "uuid": "31ff28ac-c292-4530-90ee-68b66ee31559", "symbol": "301508", "name": "China Machinery Huanyu Certification and Inspection Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.685, "architecture_energy": 58.483, "architecture_maturity": 92.417, "architecture_confidence": 93.45, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 26.75, "upward_expansion": 10.52, "deceleration": 60.89, "rotation_down": 54.13, "downward_expansion": 83.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.107334, 23.301091, 24.806324, 26.226837 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 23.74, "trend_reference": 28.175048, "distance_from_trend": -0.15741, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.985056, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.28028, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.685325, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.267846, "excess_performance": -0.275246, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.15741, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.081726, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.28028, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163735, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.236853, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008837, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.267846, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.683697, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12604575, "relative_activity": 2.058727, "balance": 0.683697, "dry_up": 1.226142, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068138, "annualized_volatility": 0.259777, "from_high_reference": -0.341142, "from_low_reference": 0.085009 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.175048, "fair_value_reference": 32.985056, "structural_low": 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29.224692, "fair_value": 33.283577, "relative_strength": -33.223032, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.176143, "energy": 85.466756, "activity_lines": [ 23.616666, 24.651463, 26.416929, 27.751059 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.280001, "volume": 6101684, "typical_volume": 6276648.55, "trend": 28.95854, "fair_value": 33.202668, "relative_strength": -27.938928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.444574, "energy": 86.244941, "activity_lines": [ 23.041333, 24.017186, 25.881304, 27.303015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.09, "volume": 5686704, "typical_volume": 6035870.6, "trend": 28.665906, "fair_value": 33.121554, "relative_strength": -27.98649, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.35739, "energy": 71.248622, "activity_lines": [ 22.588, 23.487049, 25.380424, 26.859883 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.530001, "volume": 5635310, "typical_volume": 5899263.25, "trend": 28.416317, "fair_value": 33.05205, "relative_strength": -21.277134, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.00926, "energy": 65.501922, "activity_lines": [ 22.835334, 23.336909, 25.06439, 26.528534 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.74, "volume": 12604575, "typical_volume": 6122510.65, "trend": 28.175048, "fair_value": 32.985056, "relative_strength": -23.685325, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.685181, "energy": 58.482612, "activity_lines": [ 23.107334, 23.301091, 24.806324, 26.226837 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }