{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3209dab4-b392-430b-ada4-a598d05e58ca",
    "symbol": "WTMF",
    "name": "WISDOMTREE TRUST MANAGED FUTURES STRATEGY FD",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 48.155,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 56.15,
    "architecture_energy": 31.287,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.809,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.768,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.57,
        "rotation_up": 47.35,
        "upward_expansion": 76.33,
        "deceleration": 66.62,
        "rotation_down": 22.11,
        "downward_expansion": 2.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        41.083033,
        40.98812,
        40.897596,
        40.601097
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 41.2931,
    "trend_reference": 40.11841,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.029281,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.26466,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.170948,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.303604,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.072966,
    "excess_performance": -0.052659,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029281,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025146,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.170948,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01494,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053036,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029274,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072966,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.267222,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 88991,
      "relative_activity": 0.709979,
      "balance": 3.267222,
      "dry_up": 0.994484,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.021276,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.06921,
      "from_high_reference": -0.025417,
      "from_low_reference": 0.183312
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 40.11841,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.26466,
      "structural_low": 38.07,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.002708,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008918,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.006175,
        "worst_return": -0.030278,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.021913,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026598,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.05793,
        "worst_return": -0.045102,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.039816,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11074,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.098625,
        "worst_return": -0.018993,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.069193,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.197696,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.069193,
        "worst_return": 0.069193,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014848,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017833,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020674,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022535,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.033098,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.03799,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007298,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.02669,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.097462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.02034,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.028852,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009858,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "energy": 34.262864,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 35.017722,
        "relative_strength": -3.743434,
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        "energy": 36.151136,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.83,
        "volume": 124657,
        "typical_volume": 134349.7,
        "trend": 39.85964,
        "fair_value": 35.07809,
        "relative_strength": -2.716588,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 40.15227,
        "energy": 23.904828,
        "activity_lines": [
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          40.378741
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.89,
        "volume": 138219,
        "typical_volume": 130036.4,
        "trend": 39.940307,
        "fair_value": 35.137439,
        "relative_strength": -1.993082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.922265,
        "energy": 24.453071,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.862,
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          40.445216
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 41.1,
        "volume": 146740,
        "typical_volume": 127540.7,
        "trend": 40.03664,
        "fair_value": 35.200567,
        "relative_strength": -2.516057,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.120311,
        "energy": 29.957794,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.957333,
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          40.829563,
          40.520035
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.2931,
        "volume": 88991,
        "typical_volume": 125343.15,
        "trend": 40.11841,
        "fair_value": 35.26466,
        "relative_strength": -5.303604,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.14958,
        "energy": 31.286764,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.083033,
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          40.601097
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}