{ "ticker": { "uuid": "320a41f2-b687-4e42-b41d-a09772932882", "symbol": "BIBB", "name": "BibbInstruments AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.907, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.818, "architecture_energy": 22.694, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 60.694, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.73, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 32.36, "deceleration": 53.0, "rotation_down": 23.62, "downward_expansion": 50.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.662867, 0.610436, 0.560619, 0.707183 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.704, "trend_reference": 1.154717, "distance_from_trend": -0.390327, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.262595, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.784221, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -71.649411, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.787311, "excess_performance": -0.848806, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.390327, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.417579, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.784221, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100481, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.716494, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158147, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.787311, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.419008, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1203463, "relative_activity": 0.597569, "balance": 1.419008, "dry_up": 0.815515, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165428, "annualized_volatility": 2.101097, "from_high_reference": -0.843207, "from_low_reference": 0.957704 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.154717, "fair_value_reference": 3.262595, "structural_low": 0.359605, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.022346, "positive_rate": 0.414634, "directional_follow_through": 0.560976, "median_excess_return": 0.004508, "regime_survival": 0.902439, "best_return": 0.594595, "worst_return": -0.697686, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.058824, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.041132, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.837838, "worst_return": -0.678889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.028389, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.02435, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.10177, "worst_return": -0.784328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.161121, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.106642, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.951327, "worst_return": -0.413994, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-10-20", "end": "2023-12-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.539823, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-12-22", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.045977, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.296703, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.215859, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.196226, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.328798, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.304918, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.010309, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.134518, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.090323, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.34139, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.638046, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 3.78, "volume": 57252, "typical_volume": 104808.85, "trend": 3.674333, "fair_value": 6.320192, "relative_strength": -17.94007, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.609794, "energy": 14.407028, "activity_lines": [ 3.901333, 3.978909, 3.858095, 3.715312 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 3.88, "volume": 39823, "typical_volume": 83431.0, "trend": 3.629667, "fair_value": 6.312372, "relative_strength": -14.799686, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.55524, "energy": 13.764805, "activity_lines": [ 3.885333, 3.942909, 3.873524, 3.728581 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 3.8, "volume": 38924, "typical_volume": 82896.2, "trend": 3.593333, "fair_value": 6.307756, "relative_strength": -16.815243, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.777377, "energy": 14.251346, "activity_lines": [ 3.849333, 3.906909, 3.879048, 3.73957 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 3.8, "volume": 21989, "typical_volume": 77948.95, "trend": 3.571, "fair_value": 6.300064, "relative_strength": -15.218377, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.53303, "energy": 10.769996, "activity_lines": [ 3.821333, 3.876, 3.884, 3.752903 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 3.78, "volume": 77191, "typical_volume": 76610.05, "trend": 3.563667, "fair_value": 6.295833, "relative_strength": -15.099757, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.062397, "energy": 9.826005, "activity_lines": [ 3.802667, 3.850545, 3.88581, 3.766387 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 3.78, "volume": 52517, "typical_volume": 77896.35, "trend": 3.561333, "fair_value": 6.290833, "relative_strength": -12.609469, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.005478, "energy": 8.900854, "activity_lines": [ 3.793333, 3.829455, 3.885048, 3.780344 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 3.92, "volume": 20147, "typical_volume": 76073.4, "trend": 3.605333, "fair_value": 6.286282, "relative_strength": -7.711949, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.577007, "energy": 8.087373, "activity_lines": [ 3.830667, 3.838909, 3.895238, 3.803484 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 3.74, "volume": 35470, "typical_volume": 76537.6, "trend": 3.646, "fair_value": 6.27641, "relative_strength": -10.830201, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.223017, "energy": 5.848037, "activity_lines": [ 3.805333, 3.816727, 3.884286, 3.812172 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 2.66, "volume": 257844, "typical_volume": 80805.7, "trend": 3.667, "fair_value": 6.258974, "relative_strength": -36.636217, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.412033, "energy": 40.825461, "activity_lines": [ 3.424, 3.601455, 3.768381, 3.748559 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 2.26, "volume": 97932, "typical_volume": 82749.45, "trend": 3.668333, "fair_value": 6.23859, "relative_strength": -42.335588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.204883, "energy": 74.442328, "activity_lines": [ 2.985333, 3.338545, 3.616095, 3.657785 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 2.5, "volume": 27752, "typical_volume": 77406.75, "trend": 3.616, "fair_value": 6.222564, "relative_strength": -34.291125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.948165, "energy": 78.005652, "activity_lines": [ 2.728, 3.149455, 3.491714, 3.582409 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 2.74, "volume": 57548, "typical_volume": 69367.45, "trend": 3.594, "fair_value": 6.207692, "relative_strength": -29.577913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.792751, "energy": 76.852746, "activity_lines": [ 2.636, 3.027273, 3.396, 3.525892 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 3.04, "volume": 102677, "typical_volume": 69731.35, "trend": 3.572667, "fair_value": 6.193462, "relative_strength": -20.652224, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.001188, "energy": 65.82927, "activity_lines": [ 2.722667, 2.980364, 3.338095, 3.490151 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 3.02, "volume": 112267, "typical_volume": 73213.35, "trend": 3.555333, "fair_value": 6.180641, "relative_strength": -23.080813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.319466, "energy": 36.337293, "activity_lines": [ 2.849333, 2.943636, 3.283238, 3.454495 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 3.26, "volume": 27176, "typical_volume": 71203.8, "trend": 3.556, "fair_value": 6.163846, "relative_strength": -17.082536, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.563454, "energy": 21.794657, "activity_lines": [ 3.032, 2.964727, 3.257333, 3.435441 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 3.18, "volume": 47009, "typical_volume": 71916.1, "trend": 3.552667, "fair_value": 6.134231, "relative_strength": -18.594718, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.672641, "energy": 18.476642, "activity_lines": [ 3.121333, 2.980727, 3.227429, 3.411183 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 3.18, "volume": 23465, "typical_volume": 71064.9, "trend": 3.556, "fair_value": 6.102564, "relative_strength": -19.665349, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.697816, "energy": 17.523359, "activity_lines": [ 3.165333, 3.007636, 3.201714, 3.38714 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 3.48, "volume": 31395, "typical_volume": 61404.4, "trend": 3.562, "fair_value": 6.065641, "relative_strength": -13.635763, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.784466, "energy": 15.94642, "activity_lines": [ 3.28, 3.102545, 3.208381, 3.382237 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 3.48, "volume": 89023, "typical_volume": 63429.25, "trend": 3.577333, "fair_value": 6.038333, "relative_strength": -11.951357, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.025715, "energy": 13.48811, "activity_lines": [ 3.365333, 3.202182, 3.217143, 3.376946 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 3.16, "volume": 49450, "typical_volume": 63342.55, "trend": 3.572, "fair_value": 6.000897, "relative_strength": -19.490784, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.293525, "energy": 10.900567, "activity_lines": [ 3.313333, 3.228727, 3.198095, 3.350022 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 3.1, "volume": 158712, "typical_volume": 68415.55, "trend": 3.551333, "fair_value": 5.966282, "relative_strength": -17.740353, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.709282, "energy": 10.695701, "activity_lines": [ 3.248, 3.228, 3.176952, 3.31957 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 3.06, "volume": 46679, "typical_volume": 68758.35, "trend": 3.497333, "fair_value": 5.935385, "relative_strength": -18.219772, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.271759, "energy": 14.983421, "activity_lines": [ 3.174667, 3.209091, 3.155238, 3.287871 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 2.96, "volume": 27065, "typical_volume": 68165.4, "trend": 3.46, "fair_value": 5.900128, "relative_strength": -17.946391, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.808713, "energy": 23.680455, "activity_lines": [ 3.076, 3.166182, 3.127905, 3.253204 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 2.88, "volume": 25363, "typical_volume": 68334.1, "trend": 3.412667, "fair_value": 5.865513, "relative_strength": -21.479112, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.391409, "energy": 33.597398, "activity_lines": [ 2.985333, 3.110182, 3.096952, 3.215785 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 3.06, "volume": 95157, "typical_volume": 69232.4, "trend": 3.380667, "fair_value": 5.836282, "relative_strength": -15.613286, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.146158, "energy": 30.240678, "activity_lines": [ 2.994667, 3.089455, 3.087524, 3.193032 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 3.56, "volume": 988561, "typical_volume": 116034.6, "trend": 3.364, "fair_value": 5.809872, "relative_strength": -0.53182, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -9.324785, "energy": 6.333752, "activity_lines": [ 3.177333, 3.163273, 3.129143, 3.204602 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 3.46, "volume": 276326, "typical_volume": 128843.55, "trend": 3.346667, "fair_value": 5.787564, "relative_strength": -5.183506, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.967804, "energy": 8.659132, "activity_lines": [ 3.296, 3.212, 3.162286, 3.210796 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 3.64, "volume": 194462, "typical_volume": 136793.15, "trend": 3.337333, "fair_value": 5.765256, "relative_strength": -1.022938, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.007452, "energy": 22.669158, "activity_lines": [ 3.448, 3.288364, 3.214762, 3.22972 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 3.64, "volume": 67578, "typical_volume": 127279.85, "trend": 3.324, "fair_value": 5.742436, "relative_strength": -2.473226, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.870992, "energy": 36.380576, "activity_lines": [ 3.554667, 3.361818, 3.267714, 3.249247 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 3.9, "volume": 79407, "typical_volume": 126353.6, "trend": 3.323333, "fair_value": 5.717051, "relative_strength": 2.846675, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.824107, "energy": 51.248763, "activity_lines": [ 3.697333, 3.479636, 3.340762, 3.286409 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 4.72, "volume": 140471, "typical_volume": 131989.55, "trend": 3.354667, "fair_value": 5.697949, "relative_strength": 20.856773, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.10979, "energy": 77.268946, "activity_lines": [ 4.057333, 3.733091, 3.484095, 3.376516 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 4.54, "volume": 55687, "typical_volume": 131896.5, "trend": 3.376667, "fair_value": 5.676154, "relative_strength": 15.168688, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.655974, "energy": 77.988022, "activity_lines": [ 4.28, 3.924364, 3.599714, 3.452989 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 4.4, "volume": 114905, "typical_volume": 132507.9, "trend": 3.396667, "fair_value": 5.651795, "relative_strength": 12.444906, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.727195, "energy": 76.038721, "activity_lines": [ 4.384, 4.063273, 3.693429, 3.519011 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 4.88, "volume": 84384, "typical_volume": 131113.75, "trend": 3.432667, "fair_value": 5.630769, "relative_strength": 24.776926, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.728878, "energy": 79.861872, "activity_lines": [ 4.597333, 4.263273, 3.826381, 3.61471 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 4.89, "volume": 61705, "typical_volume": 132840.2, "trend": 3.469667, "fair_value": 5.610833, "relative_strength": 24.44121, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.628711, "energy": 72.127075, "activity_lines": [ 4.731333, 4.428727, 3.951429, 3.708731 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 4.75, "volume": 92410, "typical_volume": 135110.25, "trend": 3.502, "fair_value": 5.588718, "relative_strength": 20.638713, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.592429, "energy": 55.967863, "activity_lines": [ 4.752667, 4.535455, 4.055381, 3.791333 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 4.57, "volume": 63455, "typical_volume": 137109.75, "trend": 3.523667, "fair_value": 5.564038, "relative_strength": 13.045611, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.577846, "energy": 47.669799, "activity_lines": [ 4.712, 4.587818, 4.134714, 3.860237 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 4.6, "volume": 36926, "typical_volume": 137386.3, "trend": 3.552333, "fair_value": 5.543269, "relative_strength": 14.095323, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.539989, "energy": 40.608072, "activity_lines": [ 4.679333, 4.625455, 4.210286, 3.929677 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 4.77, "volume": 39494, "typical_volume": 134909.85, "trend": 3.622667, "fair_value": 5.523718, "relative_strength": 13.756125, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.825295, "energy": 39.755763, "activity_lines": [ 4.69, 4.676545, 4.296714, 4.008237 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 4.68, "volume": 84442, "typical_volume": 136659.45, "trend": 3.703333, "fair_value": 5.501667, "relative_strength": 12.228728, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.84735, "energy": 31.91323, "activity_lines": [ 4.678, 4.690727, 4.368429, 4.076452 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 5.46, "volume": 84184, "typical_volume": 132933.05, "trend": 3.802, "fair_value": 5.485385, "relative_strength": 28.661014, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.067426, "energy": 44.904483, "activity_lines": [ 4.94, 4.832545, 4.50719, 4.189785 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 5.8, "volume": 90233, "typical_volume": 135110.75, "trend": 3.904, "fair_value": 5.472179, "relative_strength": 36.478996, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.773592, "energy": 62.189251, "activity_lines": [ 5.268, 5.022727, 4.667095, 4.318688 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 6.4, "volume": 151004, "typical_volume": 141307.7, "trend": 4.016, "fair_value": 5.465385, "relative_strength": 48.042308, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.219597, "energy": 77.502894, "activity_lines": [ 5.714, 5.299091, 4.871095, 4.47972 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 5.7, "volume": 116694, "typical_volume": 145874.25, "trend": 4.105333, "fair_value": 5.456282, "relative_strength": 34.710411, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.564001, "energy": 74.070298, "activity_lines": [ 5.806667, 5.411818, 4.992048, 4.588366 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 5.8, "volume": 39388, "typical_volume": 143085.8, "trend": 4.19, "fair_value": 5.449872, "relative_strength": 35.748661, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.184783, "energy": 73.227533, "activity_lines": [ 5.870667, 5.527818, 5.109095, 4.697699 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 5.98, "volume": 16918, "typical_volume": 94503.65, "trend": 4.283333, "fair_value": 5.439487, "relative_strength": 39.444436, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.235783, "energy": 61.384375, "activity_lines": [ 5.92, 5.66, 5.230238, 4.813183 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 5.72, "volume": 47256, "typical_volume": 83050.15, "trend": 4.368, "fair_value": 5.426795, "relative_strength": 33.36771, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.77895, "energy": 44.358024, "activity_lines": [ 5.848, 5.722545, 5.315095, 4.905871 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 5.52, "volume": 16378, "typical_volume": 74145.95, "trend": 4.436, "fair_value": 5.412436, "relative_strength": 24.662256, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.488565, "energy": 33.796058, "activity_lines": [ 5.714667, 5.727818, 5.370143, 4.980194 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 5.3, "volume": 9745, "typical_volume": 71254.3, "trend": 4.496667, "fair_value": 5.401667, "relative_strength": 22.103073, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.89417, "energy": 25.614313, "activity_lines": [ 5.566667, 5.676364, 5.395286, 5.035935 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 5.68, "volume": 16871, "typical_volume": 68127.5, "trend": 4.580667, "fair_value": 5.39141, "relative_strength": 29.760787, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.546109, "energy": 21.174337, "activity_lines": [ 5.572, 5.684364, 5.448714, 5.11228 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 5.18, "volume": 62564, "typical_volume": 64232.15, "trend": 4.65, "fair_value": 5.378462, "relative_strength": 23.31953, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.953436, "energy": 17.909013, "activity_lines": [ 5.418667, 5.583273, 5.446048, 5.150946 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 5.44, "volume": 20233, "typical_volume": 62459.45, "trend": 4.729333, "fair_value": 5.364615, "relative_strength": 29.319028, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.174248, "energy": 15.588531, "activity_lines": [ 5.405333, 5.534545, 5.465952, 5.201914 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 5.22, "volume": 25198, "typical_volume": 57974.1, "trend": 4.804667, "fair_value": 5.351282, "relative_strength": 20.036229, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.471955, "energy": 10.025045, "activity_lines": [ 5.337333, 5.452364, 5.460619, 5.23357 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 5.0, "volume": 94141, "typical_volume": 58461.95, "trend": 4.875333, "fair_value": 5.338462, "relative_strength": 13.613045, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.365369, "energy": 9.787899, "activity_lines": [ 5.216, 5.351636, 5.430429, 5.246172 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 5.08, "volume": 50720, "typical_volume": 57912.7, "trend": 4.942667, "fair_value": 5.324872, "relative_strength": 13.521739, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.613435, "energy": 10.567093, "activity_lines": [ 5.141333, 5.278182, 5.407286, 5.259376 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 4.86, "volume": 94793, "typical_volume": 58031.85, "trend": 4.986, "fair_value": 5.310513, "relative_strength": 13.369063, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.61741, "energy": 14.037923, "activity_lines": [ 5.033333, 5.177818, 5.362286, 5.254043 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 5.0, "volume": 47674, "typical_volume": 57242.8, "trend": 5.037333, "fair_value": 5.297692, "relative_strength": 14.265505, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.540131, "energy": 24.215921, "activity_lines": [ 4.993333, 5.123273, 5.330095, 5.254946 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 4.26, "volume": 172149, "typical_volume": 64003.95, "trend": 5.058, "fair_value": 5.277564, "relative_strength": -4.583973, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.087957, "energy": 40.003406, "activity_lines": [ 4.736, 4.947273, 5.225381, 5.204796 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 4.18, "volume": 126828, "typical_volume": 68370.65, "trend": 5.076, "fair_value": 5.257821, "relative_strength": -8.275321, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.637854, "energy": 50.461969, "activity_lines": [ 4.516, 4.779636, 5.114667, 5.148151 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 4.24, "volume": 215840, "typical_volume": 74940.55, "trend": 5.087333, "fair_value": 5.239359, "relative_strength": -5.571339, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.310885, "energy": 49.860493, "activity_lines": [ 4.370667, 4.643273, 5.012476, 5.094215 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 4.18, "volume": 54198, "typical_volume": 73441.25, "trend": 5.069333, "fair_value": 5.222051, "relative_strength": -6.78112, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.896717, "energy": 62.122617, "activity_lines": [ 4.261333, 4.522182, 4.906667, 5.035677 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 4.41, "volume": 117331, "typical_volume": 74796.15, "trend": 5.065, "fair_value": 5.205449, "relative_strength": -2.52581, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.560952, "energy": 42.601916, "activity_lines": [ 4.274, 4.461091, 4.828857, 4.99314 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 4.88, "volume": 31279, "typical_volume": 68809.9, "trend": 5.081, "fair_value": 5.186218, "relative_strength": 7.163413, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.250457, "energy": 28.764836, "activity_lines": [ 4.482667, 4.504182, 4.802429, 4.981204 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 5.02, "volume": 125933, "typical_volume": 69271.85, "trend": 5.085667, "fair_value": 5.166987, "relative_strength": 10.929788, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.448199, "energy": 16.003574, "activity_lines": [ 4.696667, 4.578909, 4.796571, 4.977269 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 3.7, "volume": 154710, "typical_volume": 75037.95, "trend": 5.046, "fair_value": 5.136218, "relative_strength": -18.2955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.875249, "energy": 23.959777, "activity_lines": [ 4.414667, 4.413273, 4.668238, 4.887871 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 3.99, "volume": 87423, "typical_volume": 78563.2, "trend": 5.020667, "fair_value": 5.110897, "relative_strength": -10.39086, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.318034, "energy": 26.400284, "activity_lines": [ 4.265333, 4.325455, 4.577524, 4.819742 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 3.83, "volume": 67697, "typical_volume": 79585.25, "trend": 4.996, "fair_value": 5.078269, "relative_strength": -14.181683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.126117, "energy": 36.859662, "activity_lines": [ 4.075333, 4.224364, 4.481048, 4.742925 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 3.87, "volume": 49427, "typical_volume": 81237.7, "trend": 4.971667, "fair_value": 5.041923, "relative_strength": -13.395252, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.968442, "energy": 48.181106, "activity_lines": [ 3.937333, 4.151818, 4.397381, 4.67028 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 3.88, "volume": 81265, "typical_volume": 84813.7, "trend": 4.942, "fair_value": 4.998846, "relative_strength": -16.605382, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.406888, "energy": 45.134053, "activity_lines": [ 3.87, 4.088182, 4.322524, 4.599849 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 3.93, "volume": 69164, "typical_volume": 87428.35, "trend": 4.917, "fair_value": 4.964167, "relative_strength": -13.690307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.587216, "energy": 38.66806, "activity_lines": [ 3.895333, 4.039091, 4.25919, 4.534559 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 3.38, "volume": 98318, "typical_volume": 89216.05, "trend": 4.847667, "fair_value": 4.919808, "relative_strength": -23.237513, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.554019, "energy": 40.976936, "activity_lines": [ 3.722, 3.895636, 4.15181, 4.435398 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 3.193333, "volume": 13886, "typical_volume": 88898.7, "trend": 4.760778, "fair_value": 4.885791, "relative_strength": -27.901938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.623561, "energy": 46.410018, "activity_lines": [ 3.527111, 3.732788, 4.035222, 4.328667 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 3.08, "volume": 134186, "typical_volume": 94348.1, "trend": 4.650111, "fair_value": 4.84656, "relative_strength": -30.974243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.516835, "energy": 55.507072, "activity_lines": [ 3.336889, 3.571454, 3.91854, 4.220229 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 2.78, "volume": 185817, "typical_volume": 98931.9, "trend": 4.552778, "fair_value": 4.811688, "relative_strength": -37.86875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.527204, "energy": 66.326608, "activity_lines": [ 3.099333, 3.388303, 3.783476, 4.099577 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 2.64, "volume": 277328, "typical_volume": 110262.3, "trend": 4.447444, "fair_value": 4.783098, "relative_strength": -42.936439, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.186039, "energy": 76.395192, "activity_lines": [ 2.888444, 3.220424, 3.645651, 3.976172 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 2.54, "volume": 577616, "typical_volume": 134403.45, "trend": 4.332778, "fair_value": 4.753226, "relative_strength": -46.018999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.84281, "energy": 73.35852, "activity_lines": [ 2.730222, 3.053636, 3.509921, 3.853111 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 2.85, "volume": 382280, "typical_volume": 151133.75, "trend": 4.237111, "fair_value": 4.725214, "relative_strength": -39.300064, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.360461, "energy": 61.371977, "activity_lines": [ 2.731333, 2.969576, 3.414762, 3.757448 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 2.27, "volume": 786271, "typical_volume": 181839.85, "trend": 4.128778, "fair_value": 4.689509, "relative_strength": -50.737219, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.259328, "energy": 76.759671, "activity_lines": [ 2.562, 2.797879, 3.274603, 3.630538 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 2.4, "volume": 331325, "typical_volume": 192064.7, "trend": 4.032111, "fair_value": 4.659252, "relative_strength": -49.086302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.240202, "energy": 67.32662, "activity_lines": [ 2.49, 2.678909, 3.156302, 3.519004 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 2.4, "volume": 178856, "typical_volume": 190215.5, "trend": 3.922778, "fair_value": 4.629509, "relative_strength": -48.874441, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.548089, "energy": 62.93486, "activity_lines": [ 2.443333, 2.586848, 3.046476, 3.413706 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 2.47, "volume": 178442, "typical_volume": 196427.7, "trend": 3.832444, "fair_value": 4.601752, "relative_strength": -47.053632, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.110112, "energy": 61.727524, "activity_lines": [ 2.436, 2.535333, 2.952079, 3.319978 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 2.46, "volume": 201702, "typical_volume": 200646.25, "trend": 3.733111, "fair_value": 4.574573, "relative_strength": -46.958141, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.321475, "energy": 48.173571, "activity_lines": [ 2.43, 2.498545, 2.864873, 3.231434 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 2.46, "volume": 433181, "typical_volume": 220741.35, "trend": 3.641111, "fair_value": 4.54688, "relative_strength": -45.4482, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.777692, "energy": 44.270995, "activity_lines": [ 2.45, 2.475091, 2.786952, 3.149297 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 2.5, "volume": 260216, "typical_volume": 227455.5, "trend": 3.557778, "fair_value": 4.517393, "relative_strength": -42.894176, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.097588, "energy": 37.575217, "activity_lines": [ 2.470667, 2.470182, 2.724365, 3.075677 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 2.65, "volume": 163783, "typical_volume": 227909.15, "trend": 3.476778, "fair_value": 4.487073, "relative_strength": -36.890124, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.907473, "energy": 31.578809, "activity_lines": [ 2.534667, 2.497636, 2.688063, 3.017111 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 2.61, "volume": 81952, "typical_volume": 227635.6, "trend": 3.401778, "fair_value": 4.457521, "relative_strength": -30.245613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.9346, "energy": 26.402194, "activity_lines": [ 2.568667, 2.517636, 2.652952, 2.96119 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 2.7, "volume": 48027, "typical_volume": 226652.1, "trend": 3.325111, "fair_value": 4.431239, "relative_strength": -26.877212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.716354, "energy": 21.228676, "activity_lines": [ 2.623333, 2.552727, 2.632984, 2.915914 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 2.9, "volume": 92341, "typical_volume": 228797.8, "trend": 3.279778, "fair_value": 4.403932, "relative_strength": -23.454792, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.244756, "energy": 16.87782, "activity_lines": [ 2.728667, 2.626909, 2.637444, 2.888487 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 3.08, "volume": 244164, "typical_volume": 236942.75, "trend": 3.243111, "fair_value": 4.37547, "relative_strength": -20.603604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 0.075809, "energy": 11.214626, "activity_lines": [ 2.864667, 2.722364, 2.663667, 2.875599 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 3.24, "volume": 318744, "typical_volume": 249421.75, "trend": 3.209778, "fair_value": 4.353291, "relative_strength": -17.192119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 10.644693, "energy": 23.237606, "activity_lines": [ 3.015333, 2.834545, 2.708937, 2.875398 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 3.34, "volume": 177090, "typical_volume": 253360.35, "trend": 3.181778, "fair_value": 4.334444, "relative_strength": -13.691851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 14.638871, "energy": 38.848593, "activity_lines": [ 3.16, 2.949636, 2.767016, 2.883799 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 2.97, "volume": 355425, "typical_volume": 270437.3, "trend": 3.133778, "fair_value": 4.308611, "relative_strength": -25.549189, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.438991, "energy": 31.303773, "activity_lines": [ 3.132667, 2.981636, 2.790048, 2.870136 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 3.06, "volume": 231321, "typical_volume": 275294.05, "trend": 3.073111, "fair_value": 4.284252, "relative_strength": -20.47295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.072475, "energy": 31.741632, "activity_lines": [ 3.117333, 3.020727, 2.822714, 2.865376 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 2.96, "volume": 152204, "typical_volume": 273613.4, "trend": 3.004444, "fair_value": 4.26156, "relative_strength": -22.580655, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.068222, "energy": 15.220948, "activity_lines": [ 3.058, 3.030727, 2.845952, 2.858079 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 3.05, "volume": 107278, "typical_volume": 265110.9, "trend": 2.982778, "fair_value": 4.238932, "relative_strength": -19.794113, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.121113, "energy": 8.693171, "activity_lines": [ 3.036667, 3.048727, 2.876905, 2.861018 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 3.1, "volume": 127746, "typical_volume": 242617.4, "trend": 2.953111, "fair_value": 4.215214, "relative_strength": -15.386682, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.959574, "energy": 10.487056, "activity_lines": [ 3.044667, 3.068545, 2.910667, 2.868581 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 3.3, "volume": 132373, "typical_volume": 230122.05, "trend": 2.935444, "fair_value": 4.192137, "relative_strength": -8.398512, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.769627, "energy": 19.065382, "activity_lines": [ 3.135333, 3.115818, 2.96081, 2.890961 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 3.98, "volume": 163366, "typical_volume": 198976.8, "trend": 2.939111, "fair_value": 4.172906, "relative_strength": 8.926695, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.91039, "energy": 62.58881, "activity_lines": [ 3.430667, 3.275818, 3.073571, 2.958351 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 3.88, "volume": 39003, "typical_volume": 184360.7, "trend": 2.939111, "fair_value": 4.153803, "relative_strength": 6.898401, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.876076, "energy": 71.419789, "activity_lines": [ 3.631333, 3.398, 3.168667, 3.019054 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 3.93, "volume": 127943, "typical_volume": 181815.05, "trend": 2.939111, "fair_value": 4.140534, "relative_strength": 7.686901, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.959483, "energy": 74.49578, "activity_lines": [ 3.787333, 3.514727, 3.261476, 3.082982 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 4.01, "volume": 96007, "typical_volume": 177693.3, "trend": 2.960111, "fair_value": 4.126239, "relative_strength": 10.529951, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.022645, "energy": 74.163591, "activity_lines": [ 3.911333, 3.633455, 3.354619, 3.152072 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 4.28, "volume": 49128, "typical_volume": 170064.6, "trend": 2.996333, "fair_value": 4.113291, "relative_strength": 16.152258, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.960014, "energy": 76.489424, "activity_lines": [ 4.064667, 3.789091, 3.466143, 3.237226 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 4.0, "volume": 158556, "typical_volume": 156333.35, "trend": 3.027, "fair_value": 4.094957, "relative_strength": 12.466593, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.482696, "energy": 63.09968, "activity_lines": [ 4.059333, 3.87, 3.542333, 3.301978 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 3.9, "volume": 57549, "typical_volume": 146200.0, "trend": 3.064333, "fair_value": 4.077393, "relative_strength": 7.786593, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.726759, "energy": 48.459701, "activity_lines": [ 4.019333, 3.915636, 3.601667, 3.358301 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 3.71, "volume": 143107, "typical_volume": 145166.2, "trend": 3.1, "fair_value": 4.058355, "relative_strength": 1.996204, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.199464, "energy": 40.059015, "activity_lines": [ 3.914667, 3.909636, 3.636238, 3.399957 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 3.99, "volume": 124033, "typical_volume": 147270.25, "trend": 3.148333, "fair_value": 4.043547, "relative_strength": 8.421192, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.566154, "energy": 29.810041, "activity_lines": [ 3.918, 3.942545, 3.692429, 3.457376 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 3.92, "volume": 28464, "typical_volume": 146292.1, "trend": 3.184, "fair_value": 4.027906, "relative_strength": 9.817243, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.329367, "energy": 25.532675, "activity_lines": [ 3.899333, 3.946545, 3.735381, 3.507161 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 3.94, "volume": 27035, "typical_volume": 143026.8, "trend": 3.239667, "fair_value": 4.012137, "relative_strength": 11.058529, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.61856, "energy": 22.960337, "activity_lines": [ 3.911333, 3.942909, 3.774429, 3.555935 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 3.99, "volume": 103180, "typical_volume": 135977.6, "trend": 3.292667, "fair_value": 3.997329, "relative_strength": 12.846215, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.98527, "energy": 23.993477, "activity_lines": [ 3.944, 3.949091, 3.813286, 3.604344 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 3.99, "volume": 85785, "typical_volume": 124329.65, "trend": 3.345667, "fair_value": 3.983675, "relative_strength": 12.606599, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.91518, "energy": 26.565184, "activity_lines": [ 3.970667, 3.953273, 3.84781, 3.649333 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 3.98, "volume": 34662, "typical_volume": 117208.25, "trend": 3.396, "fair_value": 3.971752, "relative_strength": 12.5272, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.949331, "energy": 26.147175, "activity_lines": [ 3.975333, 3.954545, 3.87781, 3.690258 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 3.79, "volume": 38175, "typical_volume": 101345.75, "trend": 3.440333, "fair_value": 3.961175, "relative_strength": 4.202214, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.981062, "energy": 18.766466, "activity_lines": [ 3.917333, 3.921818, 3.886667, 3.715677 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 3.83, "volume": 49121, "typical_volume": 92235.75, "trend": 3.486, "fair_value": 3.952393, "relative_strength": 6.44434, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.97608, "energy": 15.786874, "activity_lines": [ 3.881333, 3.905273, 3.895429, 3.740817 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 3.47, "volume": 136694, "typical_volume": 91460.25, "trend": 3.518333, "fair_value": 3.941944, "relative_strength": -2.758625, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.565581, "energy": 8.118115, "activity_lines": [ 3.732667, 3.826364, 3.866238, 3.739785 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 3.26, "volume": 179971, "typical_volume": 95094.9, "trend": 3.538667, "fair_value": 3.927585, "relative_strength": -10.517478, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.0645, "energy": 13.91453, "activity_lines": [ 3.548667, 3.717091, 3.814619, 3.723118 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 3.41, "volume": 266736, "typical_volume": 102044.4, "trend": 3.565333, "fair_value": 3.915085, "relative_strength": -4.705385, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.620336, "energy": 29.005103, "activity_lines": [ 3.463333, 3.643273, 3.776286, 3.714817 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 3.1, "volume": 199637, "typical_volume": 105407.6, "trend": 3.578667, "fair_value": 3.90265, "relative_strength": -11.883553, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.779566, "energy": 42.629134, "activity_lines": [ 3.312667, 3.523636, 3.706952, 3.684796 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 3.0, "volume": 195388, "typical_volume": 107008.7, "trend": 3.582, "fair_value": 3.885726, "relative_strength": -14.830422, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.447547, "energy": 53.335175, "activity_lines": [ 3.174667, 3.400727, 3.629048, 3.647462 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 2.9, "volume": 141741, "typical_volume": 112145.6, "trend": 3.576, "fair_value": 3.868932, "relative_strength": -15.335095, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.37829, "energy": 58.69073, "activity_lines": [ 3.058667, 3.276727, 3.546286, 3.603462 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 2.82, "volume": 113659, "typical_volume": 111431.4, "trend": 3.562, "fair_value": 3.848162, "relative_strength": -19.638989, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.453982, "energy": 70.791794, "activity_lines": [ 2.954, 3.158, 3.460571, 3.554688 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 2.68, "volume": 262710, "typical_volume": 119766.55, "trend": 3.54, "fair_value": 3.829316, "relative_strength": -24.056302, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.537524, "energy": 74.298604, "activity_lines": [ 2.832, 3.035091, 3.36681, 3.497785 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 2.65, "volume": 49853, "typical_volume": 119802.8, "trend": 3.529333, "fair_value": 3.81156, "relative_strength": -24.05758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.456425, "energy": 79.556944, "activity_lines": [ 2.748667, 2.930364, 3.276524, 3.440366 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 3.07, "volume": 330462, "typical_volume": 128398.1, "trend": 3.529667, "fair_value": 3.794316, "relative_strength": -12.259528, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.956191, "energy": 55.406583, "activity_lines": [ 2.835333, 2.922727, 3.234, 3.410731 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 3.21, "volume": 95392, "typical_volume": 130290.25, "trend": 3.538, "fair_value": 3.779893, "relative_strength": -8.287166, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.403644, "energy": 34.631162, "activity_lines": [ 2.964, 2.954364, 3.209238, 3.390108 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 3.64, "volume": 277280, "typical_volume": 136998.9, "trend": 3.557667, "fair_value": 3.767457, "relative_strength": 2.780209, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.838982, "energy": 16.616616, "activity_lines": [ 3.215333, 3.068909, 3.228714, 3.396688 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 3.6, "volume": 220894, "typical_volume": 141841.95, "trend": 3.574333, "fair_value": 3.754509, "relative_strength": -1.708501, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.672179, "energy": 20.072592, "activity_lines": [ 3.398667, 3.169273, 3.244714, 3.399419 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 3.51, "volume": 202864, "typical_volume": 150561.95, "trend": 3.581333, "fair_value": 3.745406, "relative_strength": -6.41328, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.831191, "energy": 22.195547, "activity_lines": [ 3.490667, 3.249818, 3.254, 3.395269 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 3.74, "volume": 188730, "typical_volume": 158646.7, "trend": 3.573333, "fair_value": 3.735919, "relative_strength": 0.109837, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.983068, "energy": 27.654019, "activity_lines": [ 3.602, 3.364727, 3.287143, 3.405505 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 3.35, "volume": 508324, "typical_volume": 178903.9, "trend": 3.555667, "fair_value": 3.726047, "relative_strength": -10.767717, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.0585, "energy": 14.79293, "activity_lines": [ 3.538667, 3.395273, 3.284095, 3.391097 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 3.31, "volume": 156634, "typical_volume": 182446.35, "trend": 3.535, "fair_value": 3.718611, "relative_strength": -14.751117, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.088746, "energy": 9.72043, "activity_lines": [ 3.452667, 3.410364, 3.280286, 3.375247 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 2.13, "volume": 896799, "typical_volume": 225553.2, "trend": 3.472333, "fair_value": 3.706624, "relative_strength": -44.959194, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.876677, "energy": 34.150381, "activity_lines": [ 2.995333, 3.202, 3.167333, 3.284602 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 2.18, "volume": 451977, "typical_volume": 246243.3, "trend": 3.402333, "fair_value": 3.695919, "relative_strength": -44.574263, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.925942, "energy": 56.466924, "activity_lines": [ 2.652667, 3.012727, 3.067952, 3.201226 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 1.945, "volume": 347759, "typical_volume": 261175.2, "trend": 3.333833, "fair_value": 3.69172, "relative_strength": -50.966935, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.334983, "energy": 73.781671, "activity_lines": [ 2.320333, 2.789273, 2.953857, 3.107204 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 1.8, "volume": 405165, "typical_volume": 274598.75, "trend": 3.263833, "fair_value": 3.687105, "relative_strength": -51.638057, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.709139, "energy": 79.762733, "activity_lines": [ 2.059333, 2.559909, 2.834929, 3.008247 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 1.68, "volume": 333260, "typical_volume": 282263.2, "trend": 3.196167, "fair_value": 3.684861, "relative_strength": -54.307013, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.717444, "energy": 77.831133, "activity_lines": [ 1.861667, 2.334364, 2.712524, 2.906065 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 0.463521, "volume": 3038305, "typical_volume": 420841.65, "trend": 3.078617, "fair_value": 3.673602, "relative_strength": -86.547619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.064624, "energy": 90.756987, "activity_lines": [ 1.367174, 1.923277, 2.481788, 2.729765 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 0.588, "volume": 1092887, "typical_volume": 465504.15, "trend": 2.967551, "fair_value": 3.651281, "relative_strength": -82.698882, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.611148, "energy": 90.959161, "activity_lines": [ 1.025272, 1.591849, 2.276938, 2.56908 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 0.4, "volume": 664017, "typical_volume": 488935.6, "trend": 2.849551, "fair_value": 3.63205, "relative_strength": -88.446008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.464783, "energy": 91.51425, "activity_lines": [ 0.726838, 1.279367, 2.066145, 2.403431 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 0.382, "volume": 1151895, "typical_volume": 539443.3, "trend": 2.729284, "fair_value": 3.610909, "relative_strength": -89.290119, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.735947, "energy": 89.984742, "activity_lines": [ 0.525403, 1.024339, 1.866018, 2.244235 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 0.475, "volume": 3090543, "typical_volume": 688287.5, "trend": 2.612117, "fair_value": 3.591262, "relative_strength": -86.744573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.878389, "energy": 86.555379, "activity_lines": [ 0.449501, 0.840184, 1.68674, 2.098797 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 0.512, "volume": 623457, "typical_volume": 706324.85, "trend": 2.496517, "fair_value": 3.573775, "relative_strength": -85.056899, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.082118, "energy": 80.998583, "activity_lines": [ 0.466267, 0.714302, 1.522152, 1.963305 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 0.473, "volume": 450591, "typical_volume": 726361.75, "trend": 2.385951, "fair_value": 3.555781, "relative_strength": -85.723522, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.113101, "energy": 67.709528, "activity_lines": [ 0.4668, 0.610747, 1.364173, 1.832756 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 0.408, "volume": 5261082, "typical_volume": 972892.75, "trend": 2.271884, "fair_value": 3.538653, "relative_strength": -87.464137, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.62342, "energy": 62.883113, "activity_lines": [ 0.453333, 0.52641, 1.21037, 1.705146 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 0.499, "volume": 8754017, "typical_volume": 1405824.0, "trend": 2.172851, "fair_value": 3.520698, "relative_strength": -84.192078, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.107723, "energy": 61.647659, "activity_lines": [ 0.469667, 0.486564, 1.077911, 1.590767 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 0.484, "volume": 6042497, "typical_volume": 1694084.85, "trend": 2.080317, "fair_value": 3.504441, "relative_strength": -84.900101, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.075021, "energy": 71.065951, "activity_lines": [ 0.4732, 0.467646, 0.956932, 1.481808 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 0.479, "volume": 2773555, "typical_volume": 1821717.9, "trend": 1.982617, "fair_value": 3.48623, "relative_strength": -84.719795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.304495, "energy": 62.240352, "activity_lines": [ 0.474467, 0.469564, 0.850506, 1.378498 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 0.578, "volume": 67176, "typical_volume": 1814933.5, "trend": 1.898551, "fair_value": 3.466089, "relative_strength": -81.05993, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.063469, "energy": 54.96248, "activity_lines": [ 0.510933, 0.4892, 0.76837, 1.287877 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 0.53, "volume": 24646, "typical_volume": 1806729.3, "trend": 1.816217, "fair_value": 3.439486, "relative_strength": -82.236739, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.384841, "energy": 56.566215, "activity_lines": [ 0.5244, 0.500291, 0.695625, 1.199584 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.556, "volume": 1001494, "typical_volume": 1831387.8, "trend": 1.738084, "fair_value": 3.416897, "relative_strength": -81.306542, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.422999, "energy": 76.142071, "activity_lines": [ 0.5384, 0.513745, 0.640641, 1.118279 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.52, "volume": 346011, "typical_volume": 1840856.65, "trend": 1.661417, "fair_value": 3.392666, "relative_strength": -81.846847, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.353476, "energy": 76.966745, "activity_lines": [ 0.5366, 0.517491, 0.595534, 1.039693 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.51, "volume": 177711, "typical_volume": 1804902.25, "trend": 1.589084, "fair_value": 3.370166, "relative_strength": -82.185323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.66027, "energy": 78.796547, "activity_lines": [ 0.529067, 0.5186, 0.56276, 0.965408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.499, "volume": 2187485, "typical_volume": 1891677.65, "trend": 1.517384, "fair_value": 3.347339, "relative_strength": -81.634036, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.530784, "energy": 76.602159, "activity_lines": [ 0.5158, 0.517745, 0.536653, 0.89508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.58, "volume": 3028313, "typical_volume": 2025705.35, "trend": 1.434384, "fair_value": 3.325544, "relative_strength": -77.747742, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.848877, "energy": 54.11798, "activity_lines": [ 0.5348, 0.531145, 0.526265, 0.834604 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.66, "volume": 1785457, "typical_volume": 2094719.95, "trend": 1.349384, "fair_value": 3.304647, "relative_strength": -74.236442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.588572, "energy": 45.100547, "activity_lines": [ 0.577133, 0.555964, 0.529995, 0.784644 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.696, "volume": 552328, "typical_volume": 2105673.35, "trend": 1.251251, "fair_value": 3.283211, "relative_strength": -72.319795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.859795, "energy": 30.716449, "activity_lines": [ 0.624533, 0.5844, 0.542583, 0.74249 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.704, "volume": 1203463, "typical_volume": 2013931.25, "trend": 1.154717, "fair_value": 3.262595, "relative_strength": -71.649411, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.817536, "energy": 22.694428, "activity_lines": [ 0.662867, 0.610436, 0.560619, 0.707183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }