{ "ticker": { "uuid": "320b4f2c-f54f-4c56-b049-97c1bc811dc7", "symbol": "000409", "name": "Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -51.901, "architecture_energy": 47.015, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 66.133, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.63, "rotation_up": 26.92, "upward_expansion": 19.46, "deceleration": 66.84, "rotation_down": 47.33, "downward_expansion": 71.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.564, 8.535091, 8.972667, 9.43271 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.75, "trend_reference": 10.103333, "distance_from_trend": -0.133949, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.714744, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.099307, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.123232, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.252775, "excess_performance": -0.260175, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133949, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085009, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.099307, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.16509, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.221232, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049686, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.252775, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.887513, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37924583, "relative_activity": 1.246763, "balance": 0.887513, "dry_up": 1.089445, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062418, "annualized_volatility": 0.226541, "from_high_reference": -0.391516, "from_low_reference": 0.121795 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.103333, "fair_value_reference": 9.714744, "structural_low": 7.8, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.013725, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.000682, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.263451, "worst_return": -0.090052, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.115336, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.056701, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.251748, "worst_return": -0.157527, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.10555, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.087003, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.246032, "worst_return": -0.240791, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -32.931518, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.629961, "energy": 88.712808, "activity_lines": [ 8.455333, 8.828182, 9.41919, 9.89843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.19, "volume": 30949436, "typical_volume": 32701630.75, "trend": 10.350667, "fair_value": 9.728205, "relative_strength": -26.573281, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.184107, "energy": 87.011295, "activity_lines": [ 8.332667, 8.650545, 9.25481, 9.753011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.29, "volume": 30535981, "typical_volume": 31203380.85, "trend": 10.261, "fair_value": 9.72141, "relative_strength": -25.136107, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.812745, "energy": 79.152971, "activity_lines": [ 8.294, 8.530727, 9.117667, 9.620065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.79, "volume": 33146895, "typical_volume": 30469957.7, "trend": 10.183, "fair_value": 9.715513, "relative_strength": -18.576444, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.347191, "energy": 60.349691, "activity_lines": [ 8.448667, 8.529636, 9.042, 9.525161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.75, "volume": 37924583, "typical_volume": 30418449.0, "trend": 10.103333, "fair_value": 9.714744, "relative_strength": -22.123232, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.901001, "energy": 47.014634, "activity_lines": [ 8.564, 8.535091, 8.972667, 9.43271 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }