{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "320cb659-3bb4-4b3d-9322-a84cb62b8572",
    "symbol": "603043",
    "name": "Guangzhou Restaurant Group Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -41.626,
    "architecture_energy": 28.796,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.966,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.975,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.33,
        "rotation_up": 26.89,
        "upward_expansion": 15.89,
        "deceleration": 46.99,
        "rotation_down": 32.63,
        "downward_expansion": 63.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.543333,
        13.440545,
        13.743207,
        14.262539
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 13.54,
    "trend_reference": 15.073789,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.101752,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 16.141273,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.161157,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.880228,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.229571,
    "excess_performance": -0.186367,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101752,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068579,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.161157,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021322,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.128802,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03003,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229571,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.615724,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 16300356,
      "relative_activity": 1.205454,
      "balance": 0.615724,
      "dry_up": 1.401919,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061461,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.255071,
      "from_high_reference": -0.261808,
      "from_low_reference": 0.073751
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.073789,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.141273,
      "structural_low": 12.61,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.036237,
        "positive_rate": 0.304348,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.695652,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034441,
        "regime_survival": 0.913043,
        "best_return": 0.218334,
        "worst_return": -0.093245,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.141143,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.162885,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.081495,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.106097,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.287682,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "best_return": 0.269863,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 13571712.7,
        "trend": 15.19338,
        "fair_value": 16.199246,
        "relative_strength": -6.653412,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.534311,
        "energy": 36.586919,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 13.54,
        "volume": 16300356,
        "typical_volume": 13522174.0,
        "trend": 15.073789,
        "fair_value": 16.141273,
        "relative_strength": -12.880228,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}