{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3215a83b-247d-4830-b68b-760aac177e08", "symbol": "603612", "name": "Sunstone Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.199, "architecture_energy": 65.988, "architecture_maturity": 60.676, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 27.41, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 55.26, "rotation_down": 57.4, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.329999, 16.811419, 18.955046, 21.256771 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.879999, "trend_reference": 24.010262, "distance_from_trend": -0.296967, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.981258, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.061245, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.523125, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.392369, "excess_performance": -0.349165, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.296967, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087829, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.061245, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.444006, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.305231, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239714, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.392369, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.264426, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54762101, "relative_activity": 0.951999, "balance": 0.264426, "dry_up": 1.118201, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096803, "annualized_volatility": 0.594088, "from_high_reference": -0.535626, "from_low_reference": 0.164138 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.010262, "fair_value_reference": 17.981258, "structural_low": 14.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.02727, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.007041, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.254281, "worst_return": -0.222376, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.012828, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.064378, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.259019, "worst_return": -0.232336, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.122654, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.037434, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.064763, "worst_return": -0.287808, "sufficient": true }, 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"activity_lines": [ 16.370667, 17.897838, 20.619397, 22.794391 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.64, "volume": 79332805, "typical_volume": 63157241.6, "trend": 24.467595, "fair_value": 17.978255, "relative_strength": -34.282602, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.08883, "energy": 89.98843, "activity_lines": [ 15.86, 17.253886, 19.900312, 22.208934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.059999, "volume": 65194054, "typical_volume": 60688335.05, "trend": 24.230929, "fair_value": 17.980887, "relative_strength": -28.344585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.205871, "energy": 83.864644, "activity_lines": [ 16.097333, 17.002203, 19.395227, 21.731024 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.879999, "volume": 54762101, "typical_volume": 57523289.5, "trend": 24.010262, "fair_value": 17.981258, "relative_strength": -30.523125, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.199201, "energy": 65.988499, "activity_lines": [ 16.329999, 16.811419, 18.955046, 21.256771 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }