{ "ticker": { "uuid": "321a37e4-dd33-462a-bd43-7384807bcc14", "symbol": "301221", "name": "Wuhan Kotei Informatics Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.875, "architecture_energy": 57.914, "architecture_maturity": 41.163, "architecture_confidence": 85.415, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 19.02, "upward_expansion": 9.52, "deceleration": 53.11, "rotation_down": 62.73, "downward_expansion": 82.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.86, 27.597273, 29.967541, 32.034949 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 28.6, "trend_reference": 35.077555, "distance_from_trend": -0.184664, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.481354, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.170566, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.379831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.301885, "excess_performance": -0.309285, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.184664, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063266, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.170566, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172622, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.233798, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00108, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.301885, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.395192, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14956982, "relative_activity": 1.459166, "balance": 1.395192, "dry_up": 0.943039, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103672, "annualized_volatility": 0.470118, "from_high_reference": -0.375263, "from_low_reference": 0.177924 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.077555, "fair_value_reference": 34.481354, "structural_low": 24.280001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.024922, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.043561, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.334171, "worst_return": -0.326276, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.079863, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.086747, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.344715, "worst_return": -0.300158, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.062381, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.160462, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.233778, "worst_return": -0.267824, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.74, "volume": 7599483, "typical_volume": 10326766.55, "trend": 35.807613, "fair_value": 34.716472, "relative_strength": -32.481123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.318184, "energy": 69.500582, "activity_lines": [ 26.811333, 28.238738, 30.930184, 33.093035 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.26, "volume": 6881621, "typical_volume": 10006579.45, "trend": 35.452717, "fair_value": 34.566214, "relative_strength": -26.577135, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.951312, "energy": 75.53427, "activity_lines": [ 26.387333, 27.601273, 30.308474, 32.47706 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.6, "volume": 14956982, "typical_volume": 10250362.25, "trend": 35.077555, "fair_value": 34.481354, "relative_strength": -23.379831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.874794, "energy": 57.914257, "activity_lines": [ 26.86, 27.597273, 29.967541, 32.034949 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }