{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "321f40ee-bae6-42fa-b241-65c1e184c966",
    "symbol": "PSFM",
    "name": "PACER SWAN SOS FLEX (APRIL) ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 75.889,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.545,
    "architecture_energy": 76.004,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.0,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.79,
        "rotation_up": 65.2,
        "upward_expansion": 88.09,
        "deceleration": 53.18,
        "rotation_down": 28.64,
        "downward_expansion": 12.42
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.119487,
        34.97092,
        34.72643,
        34.2492
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 35.4249,
    "trend_reference": 33.58336,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.054835,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.386726,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.205473,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.144059,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.106682,
    "excess_performance": -0.018943,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054835,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033301,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.205473,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002379,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031441,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005402,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106682,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.88504,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 109,
      "relative_activity": 0.012434,
      "balance": 5.88504,
      "dry_up": 0.072921,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007269,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.05177,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.157567
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.58336,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.386726,
      "structural_low": 31.95,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.009571,
        "positive_rate": 0.871795,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.871795,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006849,
        "regime_survival": 0.871795,
        "best_return": 0.058174,
        "worst_return": -0.057151,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.030676,
        "positive_rate": 0.928571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.928571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018002,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.075601,
        "worst_return": -0.027069,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.071883,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02004,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.106682,
        "worst_return": -0.021156,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.137041,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096118,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.184678,
        "worst_return": 0.051777,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-01",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.017642,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": 0.029097,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027221,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.00795,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": -0.02905,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -1.179832,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "relative_strength": -2.929654,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 28.785585,
        "relative_strength": -1.731635,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 32.719047,
        "fair_value": 28.85188,
        "relative_strength": -1.85083,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -0.462638,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 63.750802,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 9541.8,
        "trend": 33.044013,
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        "relative_strength": -1.571267,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 9488.9,
        "trend": 33.15641,
        "fair_value": 29.119271,
        "relative_strength": -2.240087,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.332437,
        "energy": 71.541626,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 34.88,
        "volume": 1150,
        "typical_volume": 8791.6,
        "trend": 33.260243,
        "fair_value": 29.184624,
        "relative_strength": -1.05082,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.215185,
        "energy": 80.182657,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.854347,
          34.765225,
          34.415668,
          33.90938
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.8402,
        "volume": 141,
        "typical_volume": 8766.35,
        "trend": 33.359417,
        "fair_value": 29.248855,
        "relative_strength": -0.525811,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.476729,
        "energy": 81.517941,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.865853,
          34.791067,
          34.506341,
          34.011313
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 35.0893,
        "volume": 1157,
        "typical_volume": 8797.95,
        "trend": 33.46753,
        "fair_value": 29.316706,
        "relative_strength": -0.806221,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.532247,
        "energy": 83.2329,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.956047,
          34.85516,
          34.607534,
          34.122918
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.4249,
        "volume": 109,
        "typical_volume": 8766.3,
        "trend": 33.58336,
        "fair_value": 29.386726,
        "relative_strength": -3.144059,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.544711,
        "energy": 76.003974,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.119487,
          34.97092,
          34.72643,
          34.2492
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}