{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3225da8e-c4cc-416f-b7ad-c9264786e639", "symbol": "ALK", "name": "Alkane Resources Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 61.526, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.954, "architecture_energy": 35.345, "architecture_maturity": 6.613, "architecture_confidence": 77.777, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.71, "rotation_up": 20.5, "upward_expansion": 7.71, "deceleration": 42.84, "rotation_down": 54.23, "downward_expansion": 81.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.400667, 1.412, 1.451762, 1.485183 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.535, "trend_reference": 1.523333, "distance_from_trend": 0.007659, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.845609, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.81526, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.660645, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.088652, "excess_performance": 0.024947, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007659, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063409, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.81526, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115842, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.086606, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.221998, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.088652, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.628407, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28515731, "relative_activity": 1.315635, "balance": 0.628407, "dry_up": 0.98271, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093961, "annualized_volatility": 0.558625, "from_high_reference": -0.187831, "from_low_reference": 1.006536 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.523333, "fair_value_reference": 0.845609, "structural_low": 1.265, "invalidation": "A 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.776043, "energy": 61.402007, "activity_lines": [ 1.400333, 1.432455, 1.481476, 1.509462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.33, "volume": 20946837, "typical_volume": 23118685.65, "trend": 1.524667, "fair_value": 0.835962, "relative_strength": 1.171081, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.351647, "energy": 64.256134, "activity_lines": [ 1.363, 1.410182, 1.463857, 1.496968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.33, "volume": 22074705, "typical_volume": 23256473.5, "trend": 1.523, "fair_value": 0.840032, "relative_strength": -1.98081, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.637395, "energy": 66.13399, "activity_lines": [ 1.343667, 1.391273, 1.447524, 1.484409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.535, "volume": 28515731, "typical_volume": 21674494.8, "trend": 1.523333, "fair_value": 0.845609, "relative_strength": 8.660645, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.953556, "energy": 35.345359, "activity_lines": [ 1.400667, 1.412, 1.451762, 1.485183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }