{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3231eba4-0b67-4ed0-b050-cae3075ced5f", "symbol": "300730", "name": "Hunan Creator Information Technologies CO., LTD.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.552, "architecture_energy": 65.307, "architecture_maturity": 12.101, "architecture_confidence": 80.48, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.6, "rotation_up": 9.69, "upward_expansion": 14.05, "deceleration": 37.79, "rotation_down": 69.76, "downward_expansion": 87.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.539333, 12.126909, 12.99481, 13.219011 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.08, "trend_reference": 13.441, "distance_from_trend": -0.101257, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.965, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.068261, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.313178, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.07433, "excess_performance": -0.081729, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.101257, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044275, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.068261, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10998, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.213132, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049492, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.07433, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.982945, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27221100, "relative_activity": 0.573276, "balance": 1.982945, "dry_up": 0.607423, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.140474, "annualized_volatility": 0.481578, "from_high_reference": -0.529228, "from_low_reference": 0.171678 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.441, "fair_value_reference": 12.965, "structural_low": 10.31, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.004859, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.0003, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.756333, "worst_return": -0.140038, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.024196, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.04766, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.297927, "worst_return": -0.126366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.044096, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.01693, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.47582, "worst_return": -0.212971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"up", "direction": 15.43671, "energy": 15.128251, "activity_lines": [ 13.796, 14.140909, 14.032667, 13.88471 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 13.32, "volume": 6738048, "typical_volume": 49224352.5, "trend": 13.667667, "fair_value": 13.027756, "relative_strength": -24.121618, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -5.409992, "energy": 13.623495, "activity_lines": [ 13.579333, 13.997091, 13.984095, 13.861376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 12.79, "volume": 33836527, "typical_volume": 48826502.0, "trend": 13.669667, "fair_value": 13.02109, "relative_strength": -23.723507, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.543656, "energy": 24.628943, "activity_lines": [ 13.283333, 13.755636, 13.882381, 13.804753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.09, "volume": 26316768, "typical_volume": 49018587.9, "trend": 13.624333, "fair_value": 13.006538, "relative_strength": -26.660501, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -50.008866, "energy": 54.849452, "activity_lines": [ 12.508, 13.217091, 13.622429, 13.638323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.6, "volume": 35160893, "typical_volume": 48977909.3, "trend": 13.550667, "fair_value": 12.988077, "relative_strength": -29.502635, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.510898, "energy": 73.923747, "activity_lines": [ 11.716667, 12.634545, 13.328952, 13.443204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.48, "volume": 26671350, "typical_volume": 48837805.7, "trend": 13.484333, "fair_value": 12.973205, "relative_strength": -21.860569, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.836797, "energy": 69.971098, "activity_lines": [ 11.464667, 12.278364, 13.130333, 13.309613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.08, "volume": 27221100, "typical_volume": 47483432.5, "trend": 13.441, "fair_value": 12.965, "relative_strength": -21.313178, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.551827, "energy": 65.307476, "activity_lines": [ 11.539333, 12.126909, 12.99481, 13.219011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }