{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3238e93c-c07d-4b9b-a89d-cf3bd2ca2f9b",
    "symbol": "CVS",
    "name": "CVS Health Corporation",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 92.724,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 53.847,
    "architecture_energy": 53.97,
    "architecture_maturity": 88.51,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.232,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.24,
        "rotation_up": 49.69,
        "upward_expansion": 73.77,
        "deceleration": 62.62,
        "rotation_down": 27.42,
        "downward_expansion": 21.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        89.511631,
        89.909453,
        85.590782,
        80.790728
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 82.800003,
    "trend_reference": 75.188115,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.101238,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 59.96271,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.380858,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.652072,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.264766,
    "excess_performance": 0.090519,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101238,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113821,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.380858,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06043,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036521,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071455,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.264766,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.093537,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 574,
      "relative_activity": 10.123457,
      "balance": 0.093537,
      "dry_up": 2.530864,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054948,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.345211,
      "from_high_reference": -0.139472,
      "from_low_reference": 0.529474
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 75.188115,
      "fair_value_reference": 59.96271,
      "structural_low": 60.507656,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.002687,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009064,
        "regime_survival": 0.730769,
        "best_return": 0.122021,
        "worst_return": -0.176067,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.014276,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.079545,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.172657,
        "worst_return": -0.208636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.004629,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.127071,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.188828,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.379828,
        "sufficient": false
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        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.82902,
        "energy": 31.354504,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.370705,
          65.74241,
          65.443883,
          65.576195
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 75.900002,
        "volume": 491,
        "typical_volume": 92.35,
        "trend": 66.195303,
        "fair_value": 57.481357,
        "relative_strength": 3.493472,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.259614,
        "energy": 77.67969,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.565821,
          67.672792,
          66.432521,
          66.225452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 83.120003,
        "volume": 25,
        "typical_volume": 93.6,
        "trend": 66.690874,
        "fair_value": 57.651313,
        "relative_strength": 13.405766,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.267896,
        "energy": 93.453704,
        "activity_lines": [
          75.307737,
          70.738261,
          68.060053,
          67.317368
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 80.699997,
        "volume": 14,
        "typical_volume": 94.3,
        "trend": 67.084478,
        "fair_value": 57.813996,
        "relative_strength": 7.523452,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.971182,
        "energy": 93.012581,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.140001,
          73.065075,
          69.37125,
          68.221183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 77.940002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 94.3,
        "trend": 67.504658,
        "fair_value": 57.947474,
        "relative_strength": 0.956583,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.101581,
        "energy": 88.203635,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.976001,
          74.632718,
          70.353234,
          68.921539
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 83.279999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 94.3,
        "trend": 68.063639,
        "fair_value": 58.104573,
        "relative_strength": 8.734776,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.551664,
        "energy": 92.743693,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.826667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 88.239998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 93.3,
        "trend": 68.79514,
        "fair_value": 58.316153,
        "relative_strength": 11.791786,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.252884,
        "energy": 94.264261,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.510666,
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          71.241004
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 93.3,
        "trend": 69.437487,
        "fair_value": 58.501039,
        "relative_strength": 3.371262,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.484622,
        "energy": 84.71977,
        "activity_lines": [
          84.330202,
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          75.075149,
          72.293873
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 91.707718,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 88.95,
        "trend": 70.236233,
        "fair_value": 58.731236,
        "relative_strength": 13.207651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.277966,
        "energy": 90.782078,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.214468,
          83.849612,
          77.037981,
          73.730662
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 90.119019,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 74.8,
        "trend": 71.107459,
        "fair_value": 58.94888,
        "relative_strength": 8.331118,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.107851,
        "energy": 86.193704,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.835319,
          85.626846,
          78.72455,
          75.013422
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 91.131805,
        "volume": 30,
        "typical_volume": 59.05,
        "trend": 71.921307,
        "fair_value": 59.173692,
        "relative_strength": 10.537031,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.749419,
        "energy": 83.060918,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.981831,
          87.158059,
          80.390749,
          76.305316
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 94.01133,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 59.05,
        "trend": 72.866092,
        "fair_value": 59.391069,
        "relative_strength": 15.589803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.397553,
        "energy": 84.546385,
        "activity_lines": [
          91.564731,
          88.846425,
          82.200961,
          77.730478
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 94.559998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 39.25,
        "trend": 73.848438,
        "fair_value": 59.61071,
        "relative_strength": 13.988825,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.402887,
        "energy": 82.464744,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.945765,
          90.305252,
          83.930657,
          79.130085
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 91.459999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 28.0,
        "trend": 74.671593,
        "fair_value": 59.81777,
        "relative_strength": 9.808717,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.481879,
        "energy": 66.357342,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.663774,
          90.992443,
          85.23242,
          80.266315
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 82.800003,
        "volume": 574,
        "typical_volume": 56.7,
        "trend": 75.188115,
        "fair_value": 59.96271,
        "relative_strength": -3.652072,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.846834,
        "energy": 53.969969,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.511631,
          89.909453,
          85.590782,
          80.790728
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}