{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3248cf96-dcc9-427c-87d4-ae14438f9d88", "symbol": "605155", "name": "Zhejiang Xidamen New Material Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.738, "architecture_energy": 28.707, "architecture_maturity": 73.364, "architecture_confidence": 82.87, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.81, "rotation_up": 28.65, "upward_expansion": 18.09, "deceleration": 44.11, "rotation_down": 33.68, "downward_expansion": 63.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.444, 13.241091, 13.913554, 14.647082 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 14.65, "trend_reference": 15.809904, "distance_from_trend": -0.073366, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.975728, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.223308, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.289977, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.306398, "excess_performance": -0.263194, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.073366, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062627, "read": "Falling" 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11.15, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.017426, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": 0.00611, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.221296, "worst_return": -0.201586, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.072128, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.059703, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.197045, "worst_return": -0.014177, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.021456, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.02849, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.212329, "worst_return": 0.007312, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.129573, "energy": 85.841499, "activity_lines": [ 12.870667, 13.601843, 14.503559, 15.352537 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.97, "volume": 18012460, "typical_volume": 12335093.1, "trend": 16.116386, "fair_value": 11.909382, "relative_strength": -13.125442, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.157078, "energy": 61.938975, "activity_lines": [ 12.837333, 13.350721, 14.28507, 15.143104 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.5, "volume": 31779671, "typical_volume": 13105424.25, "trend": 15.99398, "fair_value": 11.925857, "relative_strength": -17.310989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.332506, "energy": 53.186753, "activity_lines": [ 12.704667, 13.078294, 14.048686, 14.909789 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.16, "volume": 16731332, "typical_volume": 13203106.25, "trend": 15.887976, "fair_value": 11.946388, "relative_strength": -13.330105, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.133031, "energy": 47.336039, "activity_lines": [ 12.862, 12.999818, 13.899938, 14.726952 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.65, "volume": 31575244, "typical_volume": 14079513.3, "trend": 15.809904, "fair_value": 11.975728, "relative_strength": -6.289977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.738199, "energy": 28.7068, "activity_lines": [ 13.444, 13.241091, 13.913554, 14.647082 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }