{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "324d2f45-5483-43b4-82bc-d5270b7b8d1c",
    "symbol": "HEAL",
    "name": "iShares Healthcare Innovation UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 82.103,
    "architecture_energy": 70.294,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.862,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.263,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.01,
        "rotation_up": 70.04,
        "upward_expansion": 85.46,
        "deceleration": 56.48,
        "rotation_down": 17.38,
        "downward_expansion": 12.12
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        8.420073,
        8.103371,
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 8.697,
    "trend_reference": 7.8297,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.110771,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.116974,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.222008,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.138935,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.123063,
    "excess_performance": -0.047829,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110771,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024781,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.222008,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.167881,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021389,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079956,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123063,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.457484,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 203492,
      "relative_activity": 1.091819,
      "balance": 1.457484,
      "dry_up": 1.32756,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027675,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.171523,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002523,
      "from_low_reference": 0.322939
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 7.116974,
      "structural_low": 7.154,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": 0.005361,
        "positive_rate": 0.55,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.55,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029752,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.091942,
        "worst_return": -0.092531,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.153087,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -1.654864,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 186188.95,
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        "fair_value": 7.063372,
        "relative_strength": -1.523678,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 7.074628,
        "relative_strength": -2.550225,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.843866,
        "energy": 92.738796,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 308717,
        "typical_volume": 189006.55,
        "trend": 7.7625,
        "fair_value": 7.084026,
        "relative_strength": -1.828297,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.640916,
        "energy": 88.848017,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.887986,
          7.807989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.474,
        "volume": 231630,
        "typical_volume": 185245.75,
        "trend": 7.7873,
        "fair_value": 7.093833,
        "relative_strength": -1.116091,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.159564,
        "energy": 87.995661,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.474,
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          7.960005,
          7.853892
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.369,
        "volume": 245878,
        "typical_volume": 185622.3,
        "trend": 7.810433,
        "fair_value": 7.104083,
        "relative_strength": -2.99322,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.84808,
        "energy": 79.177445,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.3244,
          8.018214,
          7.891422
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.697,
        "volume": 203492,
        "typical_volume": 186378.9,
        "trend": 7.8297,
        "fair_value": 7.116974,
        "relative_strength": -2.138935,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.102897,
        "energy": 70.293768,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.103371,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}