{ "ticker": { "uuid": "324f8fa6-1d33-4388-b5a3-c01a690a988a", "symbol": "601933", "name": "Yonghui Superstores Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.523, "architecture_energy": 38.391, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 60.295, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.56, "rotation_up": 26.36, "upward_expansion": 17.02, "deceleration": 66.81, "rotation_down": 41.76, "downward_expansion": 67.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.172, 3.148727, 3.306143, 3.481785 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 3.23, "trend_reference": 3.778667, "distance_from_trend": -0.145201, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.878397, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.167182, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.813111, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.265909, "excess_performance": -0.222705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.145201, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116584, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.167182, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.139522, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.228131, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030302, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.265909, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.741782, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 763481123, "relative_activity": 1.295584, "balance": 0.741782, "dry_up": 1.596628, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086211, "annualized_volatility": 0.344358, "from_high_reference": -0.465232, "from_low_reference": 0.106164 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.778667, "fair_value_reference": 3.878397, "structural_low": 2.92, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.010957, "positive_rate": 0.361111, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.011435, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.410256, "worst_return": -0.181081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.019889, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 1.273543, "worst_return": -0.168269, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.011561, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -9.4e-05, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 1.44843, "worst_return": -0.080745, "sufficient": true }, { 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"down", "direction": -69.551695, "energy": 66.704038, "activity_lines": [ 3.105333, 3.192727, 3.41119, 3.624258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.99, "volume": 685694569, "typical_volume": 550391326.3, "trend": 3.894333, "fair_value": 3.878462, "relative_strength": -27.514219, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.505821, "energy": 63.733992, "activity_lines": [ 3.069333, 3.136727, 3.354476, 3.559957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.28, "volume": 1158721888, "typical_volume": 584033864.85, "trend": 3.827333, "fair_value": 3.879038, "relative_strength": -20.153703, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.233836, "energy": 47.487262, "activity_lines": [ 3.137333, 3.145636, 3.330952, 3.520323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.23, "volume": 763481123, "typical_volume": 589294774.35, "trend": 3.778667, "fair_value": 3.878397, "relative_strength": -22.813111, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.523408, "energy": 38.391123, "activity_lines": [ 3.172, 3.148727, 3.306143, 3.481785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }