{ "ticker": { "uuid": "32503353-af95-4323-b34e-14f74c262d88", "symbol": "5536", "name": "Acter Group Corporation Limited", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.661, "architecture_energy": 19.119, "architecture_maturity": 60.541, "architecture_confidence": 74.531, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.41, "rotation_up": 14.58, "upward_expansion": 51.55, "deceleration": 93.92, "rotation_down": 42.26, "downward_expansion": 22.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 1001.333333, 1093.721518, 1082.699372, 1008.771817 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 925.0, "trend_reference": 907.517169, "distance_from_trend": 0.019264, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 462.442352, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.000249, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.218194, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.504791, "excess_performance": 0.063419, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.019264, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.18343, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.000249, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.668237, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.202182, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239186, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.504791, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.329054, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6214818, "relative_activity": 0.850266, "balance": 1.329054, "dry_up": 0.63633, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.213943, "annualized_volatility": 0.749551, "from_high_reference": -0.372835, "from_low_reference": 0.650723 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 907.517169, "fair_value_reference": 462.442352, "structural_low": 602.824797, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.00838, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.032173, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.270353, "worst_return": -0.213768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.079534, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.021199, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.233503, "worst_return": -0.041754, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.181443, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.173743, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.338109, "worst_return": 0.068305, 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1140.0, "volume": 4438601, "typical_volume": 8145018.3, "trend": 875.130133, "fair_value": 440.115804, "relative_strength": 5.858348, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.282645, "energy": 52.53675, "activity_lines": [ 1242.813867, 1205.951889, 1074.36135, 978.123186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1120.0, "volume": 3304643, "typical_volume": 7974753.5, "trend": 886.542694, "fair_value": 446.417151, "relative_strength": 1.332586, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.843628, "energy": 38.371046, "activity_lines": [ 1195.184497, 1200.203607, 1089.823605, 993.921242 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 925.0, "volume": 5458823, "typical_volume": 7897109.7, "trend": 891.455255, "fair_value": 451.480052, "relative_strength": -15.271146, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.42479, "energy": 20.869933, "activity_lines": [ 1091.366667, 1157.084536, 1084.529797, 996.402359 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1060.0, "volume": 3626134, "typical_volume": 7750846.65, "trend": 901.818136, "fair_value": 457.391006, "relative_strength": -5.572509, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.584362, "energy": 23.689233, "activity_lines": [ 1057.0, 1138.376381, 1090.888917, 1007.276213 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 925.0, "volume": 6214818, "typical_volume": 7309261.0, "trend": 907.517169, "fair_value": 462.442352, "relative_strength": -20.218194, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.66135, "energy": 19.119051, "activity_lines": [ 1001.333333, 1093.721518, 1082.699372, 1008.771817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }