{ "ticker": { "uuid": "325fe858-f38d-4d1a-869a-a0d99a5a0861", "symbol": "EOSE", "name": "Eos Energy Enterprises Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.829, "architecture_energy": 71.736, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.943, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.87, "rotation_up": 10.96, "upward_expansion": 15.79, "deceleration": 38.48, "rotation_down": 74.01, "downward_expansion": 91.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.822667, 4.491091, 5.59519, 6.102075 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.15, "trend_reference": 7.553667, "distance_from_trend": -0.450598, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.080128, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.183091, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -62.511383, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.662876, "excess_performance": -0.850329, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.450598, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.286492, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.183091, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.837053, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.625114, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.343374, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.662876, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.441206, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 183289598, "relative_activity": 1.42945, "balance": 0.441206, "dry_up": 1.148568, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.377451, "annualized_volatility": 1.298967, "from_high_reference": -0.791037, "from_low_reference": 0.334405 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.553667, "fair_value_reference": 5.080128, "structural_low": 3.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.052748, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.09247, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 1.801693, "worst_return": -0.479263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.062937, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.035692, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 1.233805, "worst_return": -0.602532, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.460733, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.440766, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 3.144949, "worst_return": -0.758228, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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5.234727, 6.047381, 6.65943 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.38, "volume": 139723184, "typical_volume": 123801294.85, "trend": 7.924667, "fair_value": 5.068846, "relative_strength": -68.127732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.314959, "energy": 79.906364, "activity_lines": [ 3.813333, 4.750364, 5.779071, 6.345602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.15, "volume": 183289598, "typical_volume": 128223894.0, "trend": 7.553667, "fair_value": 5.080128, "relative_strength": -62.511383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.829266, "energy": 71.736051, "activity_lines": [ 3.822667, 4.491091, 5.59519, 6.102075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }