{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "3265b967-de49-4bd2-a55d-5a1f7c098be1",
    "symbol": "MINV",
    "name": "MATTHEWS ASIAN FUNDS ASIA INNOVATORS ACTIVE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 6.184,
    "architecture_energy": 20.677,
    "architecture_maturity": 66.282,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.377,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.1,
        "rotation_up": 15.6,
        "upward_expansion": 45.96,
        "deceleration": 87.79,
        "rotation_down": 44.75,
        "downward_expansion": 30.96
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
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    "latest_close": 49.45,
    "trend_reference": 45.87323,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.077971,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.177687,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.58607,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.168059,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.309472,
    "excess_performance": 0.183848,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077971,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13633,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.58607,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.205061,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071681,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.206938,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.309472,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.715115,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 88790,
      "relative_activity": 1.340317,
      "balance": 0.715115,
      "dry_up": 0.771551,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.087444,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.391693,
      "from_high_reference": -0.189743,
      "from_low_reference": 0.531261
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.87323,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.177687,
      "structural_low": 36.28,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.048278,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": -0.071706,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.055963,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.31572,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.236352,
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        "worst_return": 0.071248,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "worst_return": 0.297258,
        "sufficient": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 56.8791,
        "volume": 94097,
        "typical_volume": 89104.6,
        "trend": 40.369633,
        "fair_value": 29.354875,
        "relative_strength": 34.563579,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.541447,
        "energy": 89.977061,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 86102.0,
        "trend": 40.888581,
        "fair_value": 29.532341,
        "relative_strength": 22.684167,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.9825,
        "energy": 65.629925,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 85324.0,
        "trend": 41.496737,
        "fair_value": 29.722316,
        "relative_strength": 27.413667,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 87531.1,
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        "fair_value": 29.952037,
        "relative_strength": 37.00675,
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        "energy": 70.77414,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 89693.25,
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        "fair_value": 30.159496,
        "relative_strength": 31.452534,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.985164,
        "energy": 58.416382,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 53.685,
        "volume": 74373,
        "typical_volume": 92347.6,
        "trend": 43.621596,
        "fair_value": 30.356603,
        "relative_strength": 23.688466,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.610242,
        "energy": 53.846397,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 53.211,
        "volume": 39918,
        "typical_volume": 92933.45,
        "trend": 44.233813,
        "fair_value": 30.544259,
        "relative_strength": 20.130469,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.641985,
        "energy": 48.684646,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.532147,
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          48.04999
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 48.186,
        "volume": 26090,
        "typical_volume": 67585.3,
        "trend": 44.678347,
        "fair_value": 30.702931,
        "relative_strength": 10.01037,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.047226,
        "energy": 26.155409,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.29098,
          53.231453,
          51.103879,
          48.30497
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 48.16,
        "volume": 29636,
        "typical_volume": 63260.15,
        "trend": 45.10668,
        "fair_value": 30.854584,
        "relative_strength": 10.106445,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.921031,
        "energy": 22.613818,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.398467,
          52.290765,
          51.124732,
          48.529593
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 47.4346,
        "volume": 59931,
        "typical_volume": 64071.0,
        "trend": 45.472473,
        "fair_value": 31.007291,
        "relative_strength": 6.842829,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.349345,
        "energy": 20.952598,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.9652,
          51.254369,
          51.029118,
          48.679781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 49.45,
        "volume": 88790,
        "typical_volume": 66245.5,
        "trend": 45.87323,
        "fair_value": 31.177687,
        "relative_strength": 7.168059,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.184306,
        "energy": 20.67675,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.73676,
          50.680056,
          51.083531,
          48.936396
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}