{ "ticker": { "uuid": "327a6fd9-48ef-4e28-b3ca-acd6a5bc456e", "symbol": "DMYD-B", "name": "Diamyd Medical AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.199, "architecture_energy": 70.27, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.324, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.87, "rotation_up": 30.0, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 61.0, "rotation_down": 55.33, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.040133, 1.061782, 1.158552, 3.045669 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.01, "trend_reference": 6.163133, "distance_from_trend": -0.836122, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.42003, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.903071, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -89.181102, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.938339, "excess_performance": -0.999834, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.836122, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.332864, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.903071, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011283, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.891811, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002933, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.938339, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.479754, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1209317, "relative_activity": 0.114509, "balance": 0.479754, "dry_up": 0.144942, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.118583, "annualized_volatility": 3.121187, "from_high_reference": -0.943512, "from_low_reference": 0.127232 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.163133, "fair_value_reference": 10.42003, "structural_low": 0.896, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.016607, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.005871, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 1.002466, "worst_return": -0.162281, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.08418, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.043583, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.154519, "worst_return": -0.327451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.019704, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.0062, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.055394, "worst_return": -0.145704, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 1.136, "volume": 2314384, "typical_volume": 10755279.5, "trend": 7.494733, "fair_value": 10.63976, "relative_strength": -88.538485, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.999942, "energy": 88.099858, "activity_lines": [ 1.097067, 1.107345, 2.053324, 4.592684 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.1, "volume": 950113, "typical_volume": 10689855.4, "trend": 7.204067, "fair_value": 10.58335, "relative_strength": -88.548692, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.666564, "energy": 87.633084, "activity_lines": [ 1.097467, 1.103236, 1.737695, 4.18012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.032, "volume": 1129477, "typical_volume": 10631957.75, "trend": 6.902467, "fair_value": 10.528042, "relative_strength": -89.149708, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.579791, "energy": 90.752822, "activity_lines": [ 1.078533, 1.088655, 1.481019, 3.781923 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.03, "volume": 2833957, "typical_volume": 10671967.6, "trend": 6.549467, "fair_value": 10.473491, "relative_strength": -89.051266, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.788748, "energy": 70.125899, "activity_lines": [ 1.062667, 1.076255, 1.28981, 3.403054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.01, "volume": 1209317, "typical_volume": 10560891.55, "trend": 6.163133, "fair_value": 10.42003, "relative_strength": -89.181102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.199261, "energy": 70.269656, "activity_lines": [ 1.040133, 1.061782, 1.158552, 3.045669 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }