{ "ticker": { "uuid": "32854f5c-3ca7-48ff-be5a-7b9943125727", "symbol": "MCRI", "name": "Monarch Casino & Resort Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.936, "architecture_energy": 22.373, "architecture_maturity": 69.483, "architecture_confidence": 89.44, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.72, "rotation_up": 20.67, "upward_expansion": 54.52, "deceleration": 93.9, "rotation_down": 28.47, "downward_expansion": 20.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 122.766, 124.858909, 122.572975, 117.316799 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 124.39, "trend_reference": 109.97818, "distance_from_trend": 0.131043, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 83.825169, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.483922, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.48467, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.265132, "excess_performance": 0.077678, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.131043, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10116, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.483922, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014082, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044847, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018507, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.265132, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.259738, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 556533, "relative_activity": 0.747352, "balance": 1.259738, "dry_up": 0.951965, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059909, "annualized_volatility": 0.268937, "from_high_reference": -0.084863, "from_low_reference": 0.42373 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 109.97818, "fair_value_reference": 83.825169, "structural_low": 89.000102, "invalidation": "A 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"activity_lines": [ 128.734, 126.624307, 119.548878, 113.508497 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 123.03, "volume": 877333, "typical_volume": 756495.25, "trend": 107.280405, "fair_value": 82.734807, "relative_strength": 7.376468, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.739038, "energy": 49.44026, "activity_lines": [ 126.587333, 126.402078, 120.537833, 114.576132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 119.54, "volume": 838205, "typical_volume": 767766.25, "trend": 108.005579, "fair_value": 83.079403, "relative_strength": 6.123042, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.900538, "energy": 31.175587, "activity_lines": [ 123.676667, 125.459624, 121.063631, 115.367073 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 122.75, "volume": 563539, "typical_volume": 759637.05, "trend": 108.913663, "fair_value": 83.448686, "relative_strength": 8.420248, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.053464, "energy": 25.85577, "activity_lines": [ 122.577333, 125.066793, 121.793988, 116.318326 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 124.39, "volume": 556533, "typical_volume": 744673.15, "trend": 109.97818, "fair_value": 83.825169, "relative_strength": 4.48467, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.93639, "energy": 22.372523, "activity_lines": [ 122.766, 124.858909, 122.572975, 117.316799 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }