{ "ticker": { "uuid": "328fc686-0b4e-4f24-af32-7c9e6d40772e", "symbol": "WDP", "name": "The Walt Disney Company", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 71.377, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -13.605, "architecture_energy": 8.432, "architecture_maturity": 19.097, "architecture_confidence": 52.574, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.08, "rotation_up": 22.55, "upward_expansion": 13.86, "deceleration": 59.68, "rotation_down": 35.62, "downward_expansion": 63.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.304, 86.122115, 86.58413, 86.807127 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 90.540001, "trend_reference": 87.835423, "distance_from_trend": 0.030791, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 91.171077, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.006922, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.121211, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.006801, "excess_performance": -0.071441, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030791, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026731, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.006922, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014799, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081212, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036044, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.006801, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.082662, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25799, "relative_activity": 2.769426, "balance": 1.082662, "dry_up": 1.551851, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040269, "annualized_volatility": 0.235751, "from_high_reference": -0.106706, "from_low_reference": 0.128928 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 87.835423, "fair_value_reference": 91.171077, "structural_low": 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"trend": 88.868423, "fair_value": 91.006257, "relative_strength": -8.884995, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.227616, "energy": 40.047873, "activity_lines": [ 85.728464, 86.237447, 86.695455, 87.274801 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 84.419998, "volume": 8120, "typical_volume": 8298.55, "trend": 88.498423, "fair_value": 91.057365, "relative_strength": -10.875995, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.47258, "energy": 46.770771, "activity_lines": [ 85.068349, 85.821817, 86.486442, 86.987806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 83.25, "volume": 11275, "typical_volume": 8374.55, "trend": 88.09209, "fair_value": 91.101598, "relative_strength": -13.47834, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.313963, "energy": 52.050016, "activity_lines": [ 84.367333, 85.262173, 86.178095, 86.649198 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.540001, "volume": 25799, "typical_volume": 9315.65, "trend": 87.835423, "fair_value": 91.171077, "relative_strength": -8.121211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.605226, "energy": 8.43233, "activity_lines": [ 86.304, 86.122115, 86.58413, 86.807127 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }