{ "ticker": { "uuid": "3291a593-df85-47ac-b557-39287d088c6a", "symbol": "PLT", "name": "Pilatus Marine Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.905, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.556, "architecture_energy": 27.88, "architecture_maturity": 32.583, "architecture_confidence": 93.202, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.33, "rotation_up": 20.24, "upward_expansion": 3.24, "deceleration": 47.01, "rotation_down": 43.37, "downward_expansion": 74.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.533333, 0.535273, 0.53819, 0.540739 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.53, "trend_reference": 0.547686, "distance_from_trend": -0.032292, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.66358, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.201302, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.044352, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.099347, "excess_performance": -0.291672, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032292, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02587, "read": "Falling" 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0.49, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.013158, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.016597, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.068966, "worst_return": -0.038961, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.017177, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.01908, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.052633, "worst_return": -0.105264, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.065492, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012634, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.052319, "worst_return": -0.183303, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -50.555563, "energy": 27.88013, "activity_lines": [ 0.533333, 0.535273, 0.53819, 0.540739 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }