{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "32a3f178-e1dc-4f32-b1a2-f073558d059d",
    "symbol": "NEM",
    "name": "Newmont Corporation",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -25.607,
    "architecture_energy": 25.124,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.189,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.29,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.65,
        "rotation_up": 28.63,
        "upward_expansion": 18.34,
        "deceleration": 43.08,
        "rotation_down": 36.43,
        "downward_expansion": 68.34
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        1832.419756
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1932.0,
    "trend_reference": 1906.353512,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.013453,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1142.779035,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.690616,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.215753,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.023503,
    "excess_performance": 0.031164,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013453,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000461,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.690616,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.197758,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072158,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062356,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023503,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.034635,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5000,
      "relative_activity": 0.148003,
      "balance": 0.034635,
      "dry_up": 2.063942,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058654,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.490536,
      "from_high_reference": -0.159788,
      "from_low_reference": 0.537123
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1906.353512,
      "fair_value_reference": 1142.779035,
      "structural_low": 1560.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.0124,
        "positive_rate": 0.565217,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.434783,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011414,
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        "worst_return": -0.16547,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.200704,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1640.25,
        "volume": 82,
        "typical_volume": 33852.1,
        "trend": 1905.937374,
        "fair_value": 1134.775411,
        "relative_strength": -8.531742,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.220496,
        "energy": 73.923009,
        "activity_lines": [
          1647.051335,
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          1767.545323,
          1830.738296
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1932.0,
        "volume": 5000,
        "typical_volume": 33783.05,
        "trend": 1906.353512,
        "fair_value": 1142.779035,
        "relative_strength": 7.215753,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.607115,
        "energy": 25.124289,
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          1739.734001,
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          1777.33446,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}