{ "ticker": { "uuid": "32a49fa6-58ee-4f0d-be65-305e2a73655b", "symbol": "001218", "name": "HUNAN RESUN Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.0, "architecture_energy": 47.186, "architecture_maturity": 6.605, "architecture_confidence": 83.117, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.67, "rotation_up": 17.5, "upward_expansion": 11.22, "deceleration": 38.97, "rotation_down": 58.34, "downward_expansion": 82.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.642, 22.946657, 23.774023, 24.234401 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.48, "trend_reference": 24.666538, "distance_from_trend": -0.007562, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.120424, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.280306, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.159572, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.047471, "excess_performance": -0.054871, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.007562, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006293, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.280306, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.131164, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021596, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014594, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047471, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.578453, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11699802, "relative_activity": 1.10811, "balance": 0.578453, "dry_up": 1.20634, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089413, "annualized_volatility": 0.346692, "from_high_reference": -0.144604, "from_low_reference": 0.363029 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.666538, "fair_value_reference": 19.120424, "structural_low": 20.030001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.019094, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.025777, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.160428, "worst_return": -0.090236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.054657, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.110214, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.076975, "worst_return": -0.194843, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.102515, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.12808, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.080351, "worst_return": -0.285381, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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24.827741, 24.911822 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 23.74, "volume": 17263756, "typical_volume": 9680562.35, "trend": 24.715871, "fair_value": 19.09708, "relative_strength": -6.157469, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.676116, "energy": 29.585939, "activity_lines": [ 23.780553, 24.130146, 24.694093, 24.850755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 22.18, "volume": 16624577, "typical_volume": 10200791.95, "trend": 24.713205, "fair_value": 19.104127, "relative_strength": -3.694148, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.934306, "energy": 49.005884, "activity_lines": [ 23.198844, 23.682514, 24.421682, 24.68715 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.75, "volume": 12614164, "typical_volume": 10367722.7, "trend": 24.644538, "fair_value": 19.100393, "relative_strength": -10.160188, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.850864, "energy": 59.620118, "activity_lines": [ 22.317605, 23.056058, 24.032177, 24.431459 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.719999, "volume": 10009240, "typical_volume": 10493151.3, "trend": 24.609871, "fair_value": 19.101562, "relative_strength": -4.486496, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.201206, "energy": 65.125035, "activity_lines": [ 21.982666, 22.717581, 23.761005, 24.242779 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.48, "volume": 11699802, "typical_volume": 10558339.4, "trend": 24.666538, "fair_value": 19.120424, "relative_strength": 2.159572, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.999799, "energy": 47.186493, "activity_lines": [ 22.642, 22.946657, 23.774023, 24.234401 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }