{ "ticker": { "uuid": "32a69cc3-7ba5-4bb4-a36f-c47b5248a33b", "symbol": "4015", "name": "Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 50.964, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -30.695, "architecture_energy": 69.273, "architecture_maturity": 6.967, "architecture_confidence": 74.357, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.09, "rotation_up": 14.02, "upward_expansion": 31.35, "deceleration": 49.18, "rotation_down": 75.15, "downward_expansion": 61.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 139.549076, 144.755407, 149.20557, 148.186773 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 140.100006, "trend_reference": 145.496862, "distance_from_trend": -0.037093, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 142.72209, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.018372, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.398089, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.066174, "excess_performance": 0.098003, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037093, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011362, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.018372, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103962, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033981, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053977, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.066174, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.767079, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 191534, "relative_activity": 0.963446, "balance": 0.767079, "dry_up": 0.900819, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.03843, "annualized_volatility": 0.194286, "from_high_reference": -0.144166, "from_low_reference": 0.137821 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 145.496862, "fair_value_reference": 142.72209, "structural_low": 123.130142, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.008515, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037871, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.020861, "worst_return": -0.003831, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.011082, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.008317, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.011082, "worst_return": -0.011082, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.111878, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.123206, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.111878, "worst_return": -0.111878, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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140.398558, 146.628902, 150.230532, 148.529603 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 140.100006, "volume": 191534, "typical_volume": 198801.05, "trend": 145.496862, "fair_value": 142.72209, "relative_strength": -3.398089, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.695326, "energy": 69.27301, "activity_lines": [ 139.549076, 144.755407, 149.20557, 148.186773 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }